Super Bowl Same Game Parlay Picks 2022 - Strategy for Rams Win and Bengals Win
It's the last NFL game of the 2021 season and the last chance to hit big on a juicy parlay. Here, we lay out our 2022 Super Bowl same-game parlay picks for Sunday's big game.
The matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals is our last opportunity to cash in on a big football parlay until September. With a wide array of props available, we're providing two Super Bowl same-game parlays: one that covers notable props if the Rams are to win the Lombardi Trophy and another with the Bengals as the prospective victors.
Here are our same-game parlay picks and predictions for the matchup between the Rams and the Bengals (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
What is a Same-Game Parlay?
Same-game parlays allow the bettor to group game and prop bets together at adjusted lines and odds. Whether they be picks against the spread or total, or player or team prop bets, combine them in a same-game parlay at much higher odds.
The more picks included, the higher the odds but the more difficult it becomes to win.
Same-Game Parlay Strategy
When making a same-game parlay, it's essential to have a strategy. You want to make sure there's a world in which your picks string together, so as to avoid having them contradict each other and cancel out any possible profit. Think the winning team's quarterback will go Over his passing yards projection? You probably want to get in on the Over for the game, and the yards for multiple receivers, while possibly adding the Under for that team's running back.
A same-game parlay can also be used to hedge against your game picks or other prop bets. Taking the Rams to cover the spread? Consider building a small same-game parlay around some Bengals players having success.
Same-Game Parlay - Rams Win Scenario
Rams -2.5Odell Beckham 90+ receiving yardsCooper Kupp to score 2+ touchdownsDouble result: Rams-RamsBengals Under 22.5 points
Combined Odds: +5237 via FanDuel
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl 2022 Expert Prop Bet Predictions
https://twitter.com/brantjames/status/1492847363836321792
Rams to Win Same-Game Parlay
Rams -2.5
We could have just taken the Rams on the moneyline but that would have been boring.
Instead, we'll go for a higher profit and take the Rams to win by more than a field goal. The Rams won by at least three points in 14 of their 15 victories this season.
Beckham 90+ receiving yards
Beckham is figured to feature prominently for the Rams offense.
Kupp will likely get a ton of double coverage, so we're banking on Beckham to have a monster game. He is coming off a nine-reception, 113-yard performance in the NFC Championship Game so QB Matthew Stafford will have no trouble feeding him again.
Kupp will be the focus of the Bengals defense, and Rams head coach Sean McVay knows this. I expect him to use Kupp in a number of different blocking schemes, and for Beckham to be matched on someone like struggling Bengals cornerback Eli Apple in the process.
Kupp to score 2+ touchdowns
We couldn't have a same-game parlay with the Rams without a Kupp prop, could we?
Kupp led the league in red-zone targets, completions, completion percentage, and red-zone touchdowns. His 19 total touchdowns in the regular season and playoffs are the best for all wide receivers.
The amount of attention the Bengals defense will put on Kupp should limit his receiving yards, which is why we didn't put it in our parlay. However, you can be sure that Stafford will still find a way to target Kupp in the red zone and for McVay to find a way to scheme him open.
Double result: Rams-Rams
At even money, this is a good bet to place in our same game parlay for a Rams win.
The Rams led at halftime in 12 of their 15 wins this season and in two of their three playoff victories. Their 4.3 first-half point differential ranks fourth in the league.
The Bengals were down big at half in the AFC Championship Game against the Kansas City Chiefs and came back to win in overtime. I have my doubts that can happen for the second game in a row on the big stage.
Bengals Under 22.5
The biggest mismatch in this game is easily the Bengals' offensive line against the Rams' defensive line. We're banking on that coming true with the final leg of our parlay.
The Rams held opponents Under this number 10 times this season, including two of their three playoff wins. The Bengals' O-line was ranked the 20th best unit by Pro Football Focus.
If the likes of Aaron Donald and Von Miller get to Joe Burrow as often as the numbers suggest, this will be a long night for the Bengals and will limit how many possessions they can possibly score on.
5-leg same-game parlay: Rams -2.5 + Beckham 90+ receiving yards + Kupp to score 2+ touchdowns + Double result: Rams-Rams + Bengals Under 22.5 points = +5237
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl 2022 Special Bets - Coin Toss, Gatorade, and More
Same-Game Parlay - Bengals Win Scenario
Joe Mixon Over 54.5 rush yardsMixon Over 29.5 receiving yardsSamaje Perine 7+ receiving yardsBengals 3+ sacks madeMatthew Stafford 1+ interceptionsBengals to win from behind
Combined Odds: +3000 via DraftKings
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Betting Guide
https://twitter.com/FDSportsbook/status/1492627073126567936
Bengals to Win Same-Game Parlay
Mixon Over 54.5 rush yards
Considering the state of the Bengals' offensive line and the prowess of the Rams' pass-rushers, Cincinnati will have to rely heavily on its workhorse running back in order to pull out the victory.
I expect Mixon to figure prominently in the Super Bowl game plan, and so he does in our Super Bowl same-game parlay picks as well. Burrow will have little time to throw and when he does, he'll see his favorite receiver Ja'Marr Chase shadowed by the best corner in the game, Jalen Ramsey.
The Bengals' path to victory is to control the clock and limit the Rams' offensive opportunities. Mixon has averaged 17 carries per game in the playoffs and he should be in line to see at least that many touches Sunday. He averages 89 yards on the ground when he gets at least 17 carries.
Mixon Over 29.5 receiving yards
Of late, Mixon has also been receiving far more work catching the ball out of the backfield. He's averaged five catches across his last five games and turned those into at least 27 yards in each of them.
Expect Burrow the turn to quick throws and the screen game to thwart the aggressiveness of Rams Donald and Miller.
Mixon should again be the benefactor of that game script.
Perine 7+ receiving yards
Mixon won't be the only Bengals running back joining the mix in the pass game. Backup running back Samaje Perine has also emerged during the Bengals' playoff run.
He starred in the AFC title game upset of the Chiefs, scoring on a 41-yard catch and run that propelled the Bengals to victory.
When Mixon needs a water break, or to step aside for third-and-longs, Perine will step in as the pass-catching back. It shouldn't take much more than a reception or two to top this short total.
Bengals 3+ sacks made
While much of the pregame Super Bowl talk has centered around how many sacks the Rams will compile against the Bengals' shoddy O-line, Cincinnati has been just as adept at getting to the quarterback. The Bengals sacked Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes four times in the AFC title game despite his athleticism and escapability. Stafford does not possess the same elusiveness.
Stafford was taken down twice in each of the previous two games. He has to hold the ball longer for the Rams' long-developing plays and should be a sitting duck for the likes of Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard.
Three-plus sacks by the Bengals is not outside the realm of possibilities.
Stafford 1+ interceptions
Neither is an interception from Stafford. He threw one in the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers and should have had another if Jaquiski Tartt held on to Stafford's floating duck.
Stafford shared the league lead in interceptions with 17 during the regular season. The Rams' Super Bowl hopes rest on his arm, as evidenced by his 83 pass attempts over the past two games.
The ball-hawking Bengals have picked off the ball six times in their three playoff games. Their path to victory includes at least one game-changing turnover.
Bengals to win from behind
The underdog Bengals have had no problem playing on the road or coming from behind to reach victory. They rebounded from a 21-3 deficit to beat the Chiefs and reach the Super Bowl.
Cincy also came from behind to beat the Chiefs in the regular season and to force overtime against the 49ers and Green Bay Packers.
As a whole, the Bengals are green when it comes to experience, so they may start slow on the world's biggest stage. But as they've proven all year, they're never out of a game with Cool Joe Burrow leading them from under center.
6-leg same-game parlay: Mixon Over 54.5 rush yards + Mixon Over 29.5 receiving yards + Perine 7-plus receiving yards + Bengals 3-plus sacks made + Stafford 1-plus interceptions + Bengals to win from behind = +3000
Where to Bet on the Super Bowl
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks for odds boosts:
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