Super Bowl Picks: Where the Value Lies Heading into Week 17

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, December 23, 2014 4:45 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014 4:45 PM GMT

While some teams have been eliminated from the NFL Playoff Picture, other teams have picked up huge victories which have enhanced their chances of going further into the playoffs. Let's take a look at the adjusted Super Bowl odds for week 17.

Dallas Cowboys -8/1
I've been touting the Dallas Cowboys for weeks ever since they were near 30/1 odds. The Cowboys are for real and I hope that some of you placed your bets. Now that they're down to 8/1 odds, the bet is still good, but not nearly as appealing as it once was as the Cowboys destroyed the Indianapolis Colts this past week.

While it is true that the Colts had nothing to play for, Dallas put a beating on Indy, so much that the backup players were in the game in the 4th quarter. My only concern is the injury to DeMarco Murray. He hasn't been the same lately and without Murray at 100%, the Cowboys go nowhere.

 

Seattle Seahawks -13/5
The Seahawks are the biggest favorite on the board. They remind me of Michael Jordan and the 90's Chicago Bulls. They appear to have an "on" button to pick up the momentum when the importance of the games become greater.

Seattle is coming off of an easy win over an injured Arizona Cardinals team and aside from a stomach issue for Marshawn Lynch, this team appears to be ready for the playoff drive. Don't worry about Lynch. He came back in the game and pulled off one of the best touchdown runs that we've seen this season. If you're going to bet Seattle, bet them now because the value on our NFL odds is lessening and they are the defending Super Bowl Champions.

 

New England Patriots 11/4 and Green Bay Packers 11/2
While the Patriots could have a chance to at least get to the Super Bowl, their odds aren't quite appealing. What I like about the Pats are two things; Denver is playing poorly after a loss to Cincinnati on Monday Night Football and if the Patriots make it to the Super Bowl, they won't have to face the New York Giants, a team which has defeated them in the Super Bowl the last 2 times with lesser talent. The Patriots have a real shot this season, but people have thought this before and they haven't won a Super Bowl Title in a long time. This bet is "iffy".

Where the Packers are concerned, their odds are much more appealing as you get 5 1/2 times back the return of your original investment. Better than that, you would be backing arguably one of the best quarterbacks in the league in Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers told the Packers fans to relax after a 1-2 start and he was right. This is a team that features a good running and passing game with the likes of Jordy Nelson, who can bust a game wide open. The Packers appear to be the better bet here, but their road to the Super Bowl would be much more difficult than New England's

 

The Value
While I'd really like to toss some money on the Houston Texans at 500/1 as a lottery bet with a guy like J.J. Watt on their team, it's likely that the Texans won't make the playoffs and the money would be gone in one week.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers 16/1
The Steelers still have a battle with Cincinnati next week and with A.J. Green hurt, the Steelers are at a distinct advantage. What makes the Steelers an appealing bet is that they have a two-time Super Bowl Champ as their quarterback in Ben Rothelisberger and they also possess the deadly combination of LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown. This combination could get them to the Super Bowl and they can beat any team at any time. 16/1 are definitely fair odds for a team with talent like this. The NFL pick is yours.

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