Super Bowl Picks: Underpriced, Overpriced & Long Shots

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 3:13 PM GMT

It's time for week 7 in the NFL and some teams have played above their heads while other teams have been a disappointment as expected. Let's check out the updated future betting odds to win the Super Bowl provided by Bovada Sportsbook.

Dallas Cowboys -12/1
I'm bypassing the bigger betting favorites at the moment. If you recall in my last article, I told you that Dallas was a steal at 28/1. I hope that you folks listened. With a huge victory over Seattle on the road, the Cowboys have now moved to 12/1. Once again, DeMarco Murray ran for over 100 yards and could be the favorite to win the NFL MVP Award if he keeps playing like this. Dallas along with Denver have been the two strongest teams in the NFL this season.

 

Denver Broncos 4/1 and Seattle Seahawks 6/1
You need to group these two teams together as they competed in the Super Bowl last season and are two of the best teams in the league. Last week was definitely a downer for Seattle ,as I told you, and their odds have become more pricey. Even after a loss to Dallas, 6/1 looks much more appealing for the top defense in the league and with Russell Wilson at the QB position. Seattle won the Super Bowl last season and they have to be taken serious.

Where Denver is concerned, they took care of business against a 1-5 Jets team, but managed just 31 points (7 points off of a desperate throw by Geno Smith in the final seconds in the game) and I actually thought that the Jets defense had a good game plan against the Broncos. The combination of Manning to Demaryius Thomas looks unstoppable, but we must remember, for all of Peyton Manning's greatness in the regular season, he's been known as a choker in the post-season. This makes me cautious with Denver as a 4/1 shot to win it all.

 

San Francisco 49'ers -9/1
The public is jumping on the 49'ers bandwagon after Colin Kaepernick showed that he can win through the air on Monday Night Football in a win over the St. Louis Rams. Anquan Boldin is a very important piece to the puzzle. I can see why people would be interested in San Francisco at these NFL odds, but I need to see more.

 

Overpriced Teams

San Diego Chargers -9/1
San Diego and Phillip Rivers have been brilliant for most of this season, but I don't like the way their defense allowed the Oakland Raiders to score at will. I'm not saying that the Chargers aren't contenders, but this past Sunday's performance has made me think that they're the same old Chargers that will choke in the postseason

 

New England Patriots -11/1
We have just found out that Steven Ridley is out for the season. Even though he isn't the best back in the NFL, this hampers the Patriots chances of winning a Super Bowl title.

A team needs a good running game to win and Shane Vereen is more of a part-time back that's a pass catcher. With Tom Brady as quarterback, you can never say never, but this will be a tough road for New England. Brady just hasn't been given the weapons that Peyton Manning has and there's no DeMarco Murray on this team. The odds are reasonable, but the running back situation isn't preferable.

 

Longshot of the Week

Chicago Bears -33/1
Dallas was my clear cut longshot last time, but this week is a bit tougher. However, I do love the way that the Bears offense with Matt Forte, Alshon Jeffery ,and Brandon Marshall played last week against Atlanta. This is a deadly trio. Forte might not be able to run like Murray but he's the best pass catcher from the running back position in the league. Could this be the year that Jay Cutler doesn't get injured and Chicago wins the Super Bowl? This is a great betting price for those looking to add a longshot to their Super Bowl picks!