Super Bowl Picks: Sharpest Tips To Tackle Cam Newton's Prop Bets

Wednesday, February 3, 2016 3:11 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2016 3:11 PM UTC

Super Bowl 50 Prop Betting covers all aspects of the event. Here we look at the quarterback position and rundown some of the proposition bets available for Cam Newton, all while serving up NFL picks.

Cam Newton Prop Betting
The best thing about Super Bowl 50 betting – or any sports betting really – is the potential to bet on just about anything through the fun medium of proposition bets. Here we look at the quarterback position and line up several prop bets for Cam Newton that NFL bettors might want to spot on their NFL picks, perusing through the more sensible servings on offer across sports betting platforms. The handicapping of these isn’t an exact science, but we’ve done our best to research certain stats in order to provide what we think are solid Super Bowl picks

Be sure to be smart about your choice proposition bets, wager reasonable amounts and, importantly, take our predictions with a measure of salt. We’re having fun here, after all.


Number of Touchdown Passes: Cam Newton

  • O TD Passes       +325
  • 1 TD Pass           +225
  • 2 TD Passes       +190
  • 3 TD Passes       +375
  • 4 or More TD Passes      +900

NFL Betting Verdict: On the regular season, Cam Newton has 35 TD passes, which yields a 2.1875 TD passes on average. Over the course of two games in the postseason, Cam Newton has 3 TD passes for an average of 1.5 TD passes. Based on the aforementioned numbers, betting on 2 TD passes seems to be the most sensible option, particularly when considering the Denver defense that tops the league and allows just 18.5 points against this season.

NFL Picks: 2 TD Passes at +190


Total Touchdown Passes Cam Newton

  • OVER 1 ½ (-165)
  • UNDER 1 ½ (+135)

NFL Betting Verdict: This market is not too far off from the previous market previewed in which we determined Cam Newton has averaged 2 TDS in the regular season and 1.5 TDs in the postseason. It’s a tossup as such, but as we’ve tipped Cam Newton to score 2TDS in the above market, we’re following up with an OVER 1.5 pick here.

NFL Picks: Over 1.5 (-165)


What Will Cam Newton Do First?

  • Throw a Touchdown Pass           -200
  • Throw an Interception                +160

NFL Betting Verdict: Unlike the NFL odds for Peyton Manning in this category, expectations are more favorable on Cam Newton to score rather than boggle a play. However, this is his Super Bowl debut and the nerves could get the better of him at the start of the game before he settles into it. He did throw just one interception in the postseason and it happened to be against Arizona, although it wasn’t the first play. Still, it’s the Super Bowl. Could happen here. That and the price on a throwing a touchdown just doesn’t hold any appeal for our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Throw an Interception +160


Total Rushing Yards Cam Newton

  • Over 40 ½ (-125)
  • Under 40 ½ (-105)

NFL Betting Verdict: Cam Newton is known for being a dual threat quarterback, and there’s no doubt he’ll use his legs when he can. He has 153 rushing attempts for 686 yards this term in 18 games played, which yields 38.1 rushing yards on average and comes just under the projected total of 40.5 currently trading on the NFL odds board. Yet, odds makers seem to favor the OVER 40.5, which is somewhat surprising, not only because he averages slightly less, but he’s coming up against the league’s best defense. Odds makers really don’t appear to be respecting the Denver D enough.

NFL Picks: Under 40 ½ (-105)


Total Interceptions Thrown Cam Newton

  • OVER ½ (-170)
  • UNDER ½ (+140)

NFL Betting Verdict: With Cam Newton throwing just 1 interception in the postseason and eleven overall in 18 games played, it might appear surprising that odds makers would favor the OVER ½ in this game. It’s a big occasion though, and his debut on the biggest stage of all in the NFL. It’s bound to factor, not to mention the Denver D is nothing to sniff at.

NFL Picks: Over ½ (-170)


Total Pass Attempts Cam Newton

  • OVER 30 ½ (-125)
  • UNDER 30 ½ (-105)

NFL Betting Verdict: Cam Newton has 546 pass attempts through 18 games played for an average of 30.3 pass attempts per game, which is almost right on the NFL betting line currently trading. In the last two games, he has averaged just 25 pass attempts – this includes the 49-15 walloping over the Cardinals in which he enjoyed 28 pass attempts. It’s hard to imagine he’ll have a field day with the Denver defense, so we’re going with the UNDER here for our choice NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Under 30 ½ (-105)

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