We are down to the final four of the NFL playoffs, and the lowest seed remaining is the #5 seeded 49ers. After coming into last week at NFL odds of +500 to win the Super Bowl, they have dropped all the way down to +300, which was the biggest percentage drop of all the four teams remaining. It isn’t surprising considering they are healthy and hotter than any of the four teams left, but can they win a Super Bowl? Or, is the bigger question; is there value in backing them with our NFL picks to win the Super Bowl at +300?
Going into Century Link Field will be tough, but the Niners have won three of their last five games overall against the Seahawks SU, (only one win in Seattle) and are peaking at the right time. However the daunting task of beating a team that has only been beaten at home once in the last 17 tries makes the Niners’ Super Bowl price not as inviting. I would just recommend an underdog bet on them to win their game this week in Seattle rather than a +300 Super Bowl wager. You can get moneyline prices of +165 or better if the Niners win this weekend.
If indeed that is successful, you could probably bet them as underdogs against either of the AFC teams if indeed they make it to the big game. Those two wagers combined will drop your level of risk significantly, and give you a fall back if indeed the Niners win this week and lose on February 2nd. At this point almost all of the future odds are sucker bets, and there are other ways to get great underdog value with out the same amount of risk involved in a future odds bet. Plus, if the Niners make it to the big game, there will be limitless props with better-combined value than a +300 future odds wager.