New England will likely run an up-tempo offense on Super Bowl Sunday, which provides the ‘Over’ betting value due to Seattle’s ability to counter quickly with explosive plays.
Push the Pace
Most NFL experts will suggest that New England’s only chance in this game is to wear down Seattle with a ball-control offense, but that wasn’t the case in suffering a 24-23 defeat as 3.5-point road favorites on NFL odds line in the last meeting between these two teams on Oct. 14, 2012.
The Patriots snapped the football 84 times on the offensive end in that affair, which can’t be ignored when looking over the Super Bowl total, as they’ll likely try to reach that number again with Tom Brady under center.
Both teams certainly have some new faces on both sides of the ball, but Brady completed 36 of 58 passes for 395 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions that afternoon.
The OVER is 34-16-1 in the Patriots’ last 51 games after scoring 30-plus points in their previous contest, which fits nicely after their 45-7 blowout victory over the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship Game Sunday.
Seattle’s offensive attack won’t receive nearly the amount of national media attention that its counterpart will leading up to kickoff, but it’s important to point out that it averaged 375.4 yards on the season—five more yards than New England in that all-important statistical category.
The Seahawks have the ability to be balanced with Russell Wilson under center, which is important to consider when making your final NFL picks while running back Marshawn Lynch set a franchise postseason record with 157 rushing yards in yesterday’s 28-22 overtime victory over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship.
Sports bettors will find that the defending champions have gone OVER the total in nine of its last 12 playoff games, including both of its opportunities this year.
Pick Your Poison
The Patriots often struggled to stop balanced offenses this season, which nearly knocked them out of the playoffs in the divisional round, as they were out-gained by six yards in a 35-31 come-from-behind win over the Baltimore Ravens.
When taking a closer look at two of its losses away from home during the regular season, New England surrendered 478 and 443 yards against Green Bay and Kansas City respectively.
A Long Road
The Seahawks have played more football than any team in the league dating back to the start of the 2013 season, which has likely played a small part in some injuries that have piled up on the defensive side of the ball.
Both Richard Sherman (elbow) and Earl Thomas (shoulder) are expected to be ready with an extra week of rest leading up to this spectacle, but New England may pick up more yards after contact than normal due to this factor.
The Patriots and Seahawks are two of the more balanced offenses in the league, which makes the ‘Over’ an attractive play in Super Bowl 49, as both Brady and Wilson are capable of dictating the pace of play on the field.
Free Super Bowl Total Pick: Over 48 at Pinnacle Sports