Super Bowl Picks: Has Value Shifted as we Hit Week 15

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, December 9, 2014 6:05 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 9, 2014 6:05 PM UTC

Another week is in the books in the NFL and we take a look at the betting futures to win the Super Bowl and not much has changed. That said, our perspective on what bets to make might have changed a bit. Let's take a look.

We don't have a crystal ball , but right now, a repeat matchup of the Green Bay Packers (13/4) and New England Patriots (7-2) looks mighty good. If you even want to take it a step further, choose this matchup as the Super Bowl matchup for a betting future and the NFL odds are much greater.

That said, we're concentrating on singular teams and nobody is playing better than Aaron Rodgers, If I wanted a quarterback to lead me to the Super Bowl, it would be Aaron Rodgers as he's in his prime. Remember when Rodgers told the Green Bay fans to relax; I'm starting to believe him.

The Patriots have been to many Super Bowls but when you lose to Eli Manning twice, especially when you have an 18-0 record one season, that makes me a bit cautious. I'm also not sold on New England's running game. I would take Eddie Lacy over any Patriots running back by a mile.

Denver Broncos -9/2
I don't have much to say about the Broncos this week as Peyton Manning is starting to look old.The Broncos should be grateful to have C.J. Anderson in the backfield as his 3 touchdowns secured this past week's game in a win over Buffalo. For now, the odds aren't appealing as I think that Seattle is creeping up and still has Denver's number.

Seattle Seahawks- 5/1
If you were to take Seattle, now would be the time because their odds are only going to get shorter. Chip Kelly's offense with the Philadelphia is something special, but the Seahawks are just too tough an overall team, especially defensively, to get beaten by a team like Philly. The combination of Russell Wilson, Marshawn Lynch, and a tough Seahawks defense, could lead this team back to the Super Bowl. Just like Darelle Revis, nobody want's to throw the football in Richard Sherman's direction. Bet them now, if Seattle is your best bet.

A Waste of Money
My outlook has changed  on the Dallas Cowboys (20/1) and I think that the Pittsburgh Steelers (33/1), Baltimore Ravens (33/1), Arizona Cardinals (25/1), Indianapolis Colts (20/1), and Detroit Lions (20/1), all have no chance of winning a Super Bowl.

While the Lions might be great on Thanksgiving, this isn't a Super Bowl team. Ben Roethlisberger is too inconsistent for my liking despite having LeVeon Bell running the football and Antonio Brown snatching receptions. Andrew Luck might be the future face of the league where quarterbacks are concerned, but his supporting cast isn't good enough. How many Colts will make it to the Pro Bowl? Not many. Lastly, the Dallas Cowboys have been my sleeper, but ever since seeing the Eagles and Mr. Butt Fumble dominate the Cowboys, who were clearly gassed, in Texas, I'm off of America's team. 

Lottery Pick Odds but Better
San Francisco 49'ers -100/1- If we can see the Niners team that played in the Super Bowl a few years back at the Superdome and almost managed to pull off the comeback, I love the odds on this team.

San Francisco has given the public no reason to bet them with the way that they've played lately, but if they ran the table ther rest of the way and found a way into the playoffs, these odds would be spectacular. San Francisco still has the talent, but Colin Kaepernick has to do a better job and even Jim Harbaugh has to do a better job. This is the only week that I would place a small wager on the 49'ers.

NFC South Lottery Pick
It's difficult to believe, but the winner of this division could end up with 10 losses and get home field advantage in the first game of the playoffs. I have never seen anything like this in four decades of watching football.

I'm totally off of the New Orleans Saints as the Carolina Panthers left as lasting impression on the Saints as they blew the Saints out in the Superdome.

Carolina Panthers (150/1)
Carolina was trying to run up the score and I saw it as a confidence booster. When Cam Newton is playing at his very best, he's fairly unstoppable and the Panthers finally put it all together this past week.

At 4-8-1, you would say that I'm crazy, but Carolina is only 1/2 game out of 1st place in the division and appears to have the easiest path to win the division. Atlanta and New Orleans are both self-destructive teams going nowhere. After a 41-10 victory over the Saints, Carolina might be going somewhere. Their defense was outstanding and Jonathan Stewart appeared to be the answer at running back as he rushed for 155 yards and 1 TD.

Cam Newton is a quarterback that can run and pass the ball, but unlike the others, he has great size. I'm not saying that this team is the best, but one team will come out of the NFC South and I think Carolina is the team. Give a team a little confidence and anything can happen; just ask Eli Manning when his wild card Giants defeated an 18-0 Patriots team.

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