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Are Super Bowl MVP Futures More Valuable Than Super Bowl Futures?

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Are Super Bowl MVP Futures More Valuable Than Super Bowl Futures?
Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers runs to the locker room at halftime during a game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on Jan. 9, 2022 in Detroit, Michigan. Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images via AFP.

With the Divisional Round just around the corner, the Super Bowl MVP odds have been updated. Aaron Rodgers is the short shot followed by Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. In this article, we examine the odds and compare them between the Super Bowl MVP and the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl MVP is usually won by a quarterback, just like the MVP of the regular season. In fact, eleven of the last fifteen winners of the Super Bowl MVP were quarterbacks.

So we pose a simple question: would a Super Bowl MVP futures number be a better way to invest in a team you believe will win the Super Bowl?

We examine the Super Bowl MVP numbers of each of the eight remaining playoff teams and compare these to their odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Green Bay Packers

Instead of the Packers +375 on the outright, I want Aaron Rodgers and the +475 instead. We all know what the Packers would be without Rodgers. We have seen that more than once this season. In a Super Bowl victory, he would be the MVP.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +375 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers +475 via Barstool Sportsbook

Kansas City Chiefs

Even if they were to hoist the Lombardi again, I’m not convinced that Mahomes would win the MVP award. For me, the extra +125 is not enough to challenge this viewpoint.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +400 via FanDuel
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Mahomes +525 via Barstool

Buffalo Bills

In considering the Bills for the Super Bowl, I’d definitely take the extra +100 with Josh Allen. In order to win a Super Bowl, Allen will need to play at a high level, and the voters will find any reason they can to give him the award.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +550 via BetMGM
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Allen +650 via Barstool

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Brady has already won five Super Bowl MVP awards, and there is no reason to think he won’t win a sixth if the Buccaneers repeat.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +550 via FanDuel
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Tom Brady +700 via FanDuel

Los Angeles Rams

I would stay away from the Stafford bet here if I wanted to create value on the Rams. If the Rams win the Super Bowl, Cooper Kupp may be able to parlay his regular season MVP campaign into a Super Bowl MVP.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +800 via BetMGM
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford +1100 via Barstool

Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry will scare people away from betting on Ryan Tannehill as MVP, and rightfully so. In my opinion, I would rather have Henry at +3000 via PointsBet, but I would just avoid this angle with the Titans altogether.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +900 via Barstool
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Tannehill +1800 via Barstool

San Francisco 49ers

DraftKings has Jimmy Garoppolo as low as +1400 for Super Bowl MVP. I have no intention of picking Jimmy G at +1400 when you can have the Niners outright at +1200. Deebo Samuel is the play for me here if you are looking for value. All but one sportsbook has him at around +3000. As of this writing, PointsBet currently has him at +9000.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +1200 via Barstool
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Jimmy Garoppolo +2000 via Barstool

Cincinnati Bengals (+1500)

As with Allen, Joe Burrow will be the key to the Bengals winning a Super Bowl. If you want to back Cincinnati, go with Burrow at +1800.

Best Super Bowl Odds: +1500 via FanDuel
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Burrow +1800 via FanDuel

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