Super Bowl LII Betting Recap: Eagles & 'Over' Bettors Still Smiling

Doug Upstone

Monday, February 5, 2018 3:49 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 5, 2018 3:49 PM UTC

With a night to think about what we just saw in Super Bowl LII, besides a disjointed Justin Timberlake halftime show, here is what one pair of eyes witnessed and the comments of those at a party.

The mantra "It's Not Smart To Bet Against (Tom) Brady" was accurate for Philadelphia's 41-33 upset of the Patriots in Super Bowl LII, it just did not prove to be correct. New England going into the game had a significant quarterback edge and presumed advantages because of coaching. It turns out, the latter was negated by Philadelphia in its game planning and execution.

Part of the reason the Patriots did not receive their usual torrent of cash bet on them is that enough people understood Philadelphia had the better team 1-46. New England used to have that edge, but this was arguably the worst defense Bill Belichick and his defensive staff had to work with, and Philly's Doug Pederson and his offensive coaches were extremely well prepared to take advantage of it.

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They kept on doubting. We kept on winning.#SBLII | #FlyEaglesFly

— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 5, 2018

Most sharp bettors were on Philadelphia with the points, and while we heard a great deal about bettors putting large sums of money on the Eagles, not all of that was wise guy action. Keep in mind, going into the game underdogs had won eight of the last 10 Super Bowls. Considering the point spread and the fact that Big Game dogs of +3.5 to +6 were 4-1 SU and ATS coming in, there was more than enough reasons to take a shot with Philly if you had the money to gamble.

There was still an ample amount of money wagered on the Patriots and quite a bit on the money line, by those less sure about Bill and Tom covering, but having the faith in them they would win the game.

If Carolina coach Ron Rivera is known as " Riverboat Ron," Pederson needs a nickname. The courage it took to go on fourth down in their own territory in the later stages for the fourth quarter was exceptional. If Philadelphia was stopped and Brady takes the Pats 40+ yards for a touchdown, Pederson is forever scorned in Eagles football lore.

Philadelphia had a better team, executed its game plan to perfection and won.

Other Betting Notes
  • The total of 48 was solid until this past Thursday when it climbed to 48.5. This was clearly the best choice.
  • On the props side, the OVER for quarterback passing yards were two easy winners. With all the passing yards, taking nearly any receiver for the OVER was a smart pick.
  • If you were thinking along with Pederson, LeGarrette Blount was the wiser choice for carries and yards over Jay Ajayi, running right at the New England defense.
  • The UNDER on Pink's national anthem rendition covered with ease and as expected, and Lemon/Lime was the Gatorade of choice for a victory celebration.
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