Jason’s record on his final NFL picks for 2013-14, up to January 31 inclusive:
1-1 ML (+0.71 units)
Just when I thought I was out… they pull me back in. People just can’t get enough of those Super Bowl entertainment props. Maybe the world just needed an excuse to bet on clothing. We’ve already seen some big line movement at Bodog on our first batch of entertainment props; for example, Bruno Mars is now +500 to wear a tuque at the start of his halftime show, down from +1000. Really? Has the man ever worn a tuque in his life? What if he wears one under his fedora – how will that pay out? Inquiring bettors want to know.
We’re going rapid-fire with this batch of Super Bowl props, so take them with a grain of salt, but I will do my best to make a sharp pick in each case. All odds listed are from Bodog at press time. Have fun this Sunday, and may the tuque be with you.
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Will Renée Fleming wear gloves when she starts singing U.S. National Anthem?
It’s supposed to be around the freezing mark in Jersey, and opera singers have been known to wear fancy gloves anyway, but I don’t see much glove action in her YouTube clips. Image trumps weather. There’s also value in NO after it moved from +150 earlier in the week.
NFL Pick: NO (+250)
If Renée Fleming wears gloves when she starts singing the U.S. National Anthem, what color will they be?
Any Other Color +300
The one gloved video I did see had these funky black half-gloves – I’m not counting when she’s in costume as a character, just when she’s behind the microphone. I’m seeing the occasional long black glove in her Google Image search, as well. Bet the middle with no gloves and black gloves.
NFL Pick: Black (EVEN)
Will Renée Fleming forget or omit at least 1 word of the official U.S. National Anthem?
Heck, no. I even checked the original lyrics to see if people have been singing it wrong all this time. This is the safest bet of all the Super Bowl props, entertainment or otherwise. Yes, even the overtime prop.
NFL Pick: NO (–500)
Will the Halftime show break the record for most watched ever (Record: Madonna, 114 million viewers)?
I assume we’re talking U.S. viewer numbers here. It could happen, just out of sheer volume of people tuning in for the game. But looking at the top-grossing concerts of the 2010s, Madonna was No. 5, Beyoncé (last year’s non-record breaker) was No. 10, and Bruno Mars wasn’t in the Top 20. Don’t talk to me about the Red Hot Chili Peppers.
NFL Pick: NO (–300)
What will the TV Rating be for the Super Bowl?
OVER 47.5 –120
UNDER 47.5 –120
This one’s based on the Nielsen ratings. They’ve been going up in general, but 47.5 hasn’t been reached since Super Bowl XX – the ’85 Bears with Jim McMahon and Walter Payton and The Fridge. Besides, isn’t everyone on the Internet now? I know I blew up my TV real good.
NFL Pick: UNDER 47.5 (–120)
What will happen with the Dow Jones the day after the Super Bowl?
Market Up –140
Market Down EVEN
The “Super Bowl Indicator” says an NFC win and a rising market are correlated. It’s ex post horse hockey. The Dow’s been mostly down since New Year’s Day.
NFL Pick: Market Down (EVEN)
Who will Barack Obama pick to win the game?
Obama is a politician. The Broncos have 63 percent consensus at press time, and way higher in America’s Heartland, judging by the ESPN SportsNation map. Draw your own conclusions.
NFL Pick: Broncos (–150)