Ja’Marr Chase was a revelation for the Cincinnati Bengals in his rookie year, but he has a chance to ascend into another tier entirely if he can help lead his team to a Super Bowl victory this week. We look to take advantage with our top Super Bowl prop bet picks for Chase.
The skeptics were out in full force when the Bengals selected Chase with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. The Bengals needed to bolster the offensive line to ensure the protection of their franchise quarterback, Joe Burrow. The decision to instead draft his former college teammate was viewed as a bold one for a team that already had Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd at wide receiver.
If you’re still questioning that decision, it’s clear you’ve been under a rock for the past several months. Chase showed in his rookie campaign that he is a bona fide alpha receiver, already one of the elite offensive weapons in the NFL. He surpassed another ex-LSU teammate, Justin Jefferson, for the most receiving yards by an NFL rookie in the last 60 years. His connection with Burrow elevated the entire offense in Cincinnati, helping the Bengals reach heights the franchise hadn’t seen in decades.
The only question that remains: can Chase put on a performance for the ages to help push the Bengals over the top against the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LVI?
Here are the top player prop bets for Ja’Marr Chase in Super Bowl 56 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook unless otherwise noted; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
What are Player Prop Bets?
Typically, player props include a specific number with a total, and the bettor must predict whether the prop will land Over or Under the projected line.
Prop bets are a fun way to get action on the game without necessarily needing to pick a side. They’re often a more sustainably profitable endeavor than betting on the game outcome.
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Betting Guide
Ja’Marr Chase Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
- Over 78.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ★★★
- Under 5.5 receptions (+110) ★
- Most receiving yards in Super Bowl 56 (+400)
- Over 3.5 rushing yards (-125) ★★★★
- Anytime TD (+100) ★★
SEE ALSO: Rams vs. Bengals Picks
Chase Super Bowl Props
Over 78.5 receiving yards (-114)
After explosive efforts of more than 100 yards receiving in each of his first two playoff games, Chase was held in check to a moderate degree in the AFC Championship Game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Though he hauled in six balls and a touchdown, Chase finished the game with just 54 receiving yards. That mild output, by his lofty standards, came against a Chiefs secondary that focused a lot of energy on limiting him after he torched that same defense for 266 yards and three touchdowns in Week 17.
Including the playoffs, Chase has eight games with more than 78.5 receiving yards in the NFL. He had another two games that came close, with 77 yards. Burrow is bound to pile up more than his share of passing yards in a game where I expect the Bengals to be chasing the score throughout the second half. In a scenario where Burrow takes to the air with regularity, he’s bound to find his favorite target downfield for a chunk play or two.
Though I’m not calling for an otherworldly performance for Chase in a game that I expect Cincinnati to lose, I think he cracks the 80-yard mark in the Super Bowl.
SEE ALSO: 56 Super Bowl Prop Bets
Under 5.5 receptions (+110)
Chase exceeded 5.5 receptions in just six of the Bengals’ 17 regular-season games on the year. In the playoffs, he achieved at least six receptions in two of three games, while catching five balls on six targets in the other game. Therefore, based on recent trends and the sheer importance of Chase to this offense, it’s not much of a stretch to suggest he could clear this threshold.
My problem with betting the Over on the prop, however, is two-fold. Firstly, my general confidence in the Bengals offense isn’t particularly high. Going up against a loaded Rams defense is going to be a challenge. Then there’s the matter of the odds. To take the Over at DraftKings, you’re looking at -145 odds. At FanDuel, it’s -130. Sure, Chase could get peppered with short-yardage targets to clear this line, but I don’t feel the juice is worth the squeeze. This is probably a stay-away on my Super Bowl props board.
Most receiving yards (+400)
An interesting prop that I’m not personally going to play, but one that represents strong value for Bengals backers, is planting your flag on Chase to lead all Super Bowl 56 participants in receiving yards. If anyone from his team is going to do it, and outperform Rams pass-catchers Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr., Chase is the most viable candidate.
The obvious problem with this wager is that Kupp is a walking bucket. Regardless of the kind of game script we see on Sunday, the NFL’s leading receiver is going to get his. Period. Kupp has gone for fewer than 90 receiving yards just twice in 20 games (including playoffs) this season. Chase, though, has two games with 200-plus receiving yards to his credit on the season. That’s two more than Kupp has. It may not be likely, but it’s nice to know Chase has that kind of blow-up performance in his bag of tricks.
If you think a historic night for the city of Cincinnati is in order on Sunday, Chase leading all receivers in the Super Bowl is an intriguing long-shot player prop that helps the affair swing toward that direction. Play it at DraftKings, where the value is +400, instead of the +340 odds you’ll find at FanDuel.
Anytime TD (+100)
When it comes to touchdowns, Chase is as good of a bet as any Bengal to find paydirt. He tied for second all-time among NFL rookie receivers with 13 touchdowns in the regular season. He has scored only once during the playoffs, but it came in his most recent outing in the AFC Championship Game. Chase is a primary focal point of the offense, so when it comes to crunch time in the Super Bowl, it stands to reason that Burrow would look his way.
Another factor playing into Chase’s favor to find the end zone could be the questionable availability of Bengals tight end C.J. Uzomah. Though he said this week, “I’m not missing the biggest game of my life,” Uzomah has been dealing with a sprained MCL. Uzomah has been a credible red-zone target this year, notching five regular-season touchdowns and one TD in these playoffs.
Top Chase Prop Bet
Over 3.5 rushing yards (-125)
Of all the Chase props on the board, this is my most confident wager. After drawing just seven carries throughout the entire regular season, Chase has gotten his number called on the ground at least once in each of his team’s three playoff games.
Granted, he eclipsed 3.5 rushing yards in only one of the three games. It happened when head coach Zac Taylor drew up three separate handoffs to Chase in the Bengals’ Wild Card Round win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Those three rushes led to Chase totaling 23 yards on the ground. In the subsequent games, Chase has garnered just one rush in each contest, going for two yards, then three yards in the AFC Championship.
I don’t even care. This is my favorite gut-check prop bet because I feel so confident that Taylor knows his best offensive player is Chase. Taylor will have had two weeks to devise ways of getting the ball into his hands. It should take only one rush for Chase to clear this meager total, but I predict he’ll get multiple carries in this game. I’m slamming the Over.
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
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