Sunday Night Football Picks: Bet 'Under' Broncos vs. Chiefs

Jeff Grant

Thursday, November 27, 2014 4:48 PM GMT

Denver and Kansas City will close out their regular-season series Sunday night with a familiar betting total, which makes the UNDER the clear pick at Arrowhead Stadium.


Take a look at the props betting market at SBR Props

Consistency
With its 8-3 SU and 5-6 ATS record, Denver has posted a .500 or better mark in an NFL-best 26-of-31 seasons under owner Pat Bowlen, as it looks to break a stretch of alternating wins and losses over a five-week span.

The Broncos are the only team in the league to rank in the top 10 in both total offense and total defense, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL picks, as they’ve also captured 17 of 21 games against AFC West opponents under head coach John Fox.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is 3-5 SUATS when the NFL odds are between +3 to -3 since the start of the 2012 campaign.

 

Bounce-Back Opportunity
Kansas City returns to the gridiron after suffering a 24-20 setback to Oakland as 7.5-point road favorites last Thursday, while it lost the statistical battle by 38 or more yards for the fourth consecutive contest.  

The Chiefs have already won and covered the number in their previous two opportunities as home underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots this year, which fits nicely with Andy Reid being 62-40 ATS when receiving points in his coaching career. Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 5-11 SU and 9-7 ATS versus teams with a winning record, with the UNDER going 8-7-1 in that situation.

 

Grounded On the Road
The Broncos have provided future Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning some balance offensively in recent weeks, as running back C.J. Anderson has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over his last three affairs. Denver was limited to just 88 rushing yards in its 24-17 victory over Kansas City as 13-point home favorites on Sept. 14, which is a bit worrisome in this matchup due to averaging just 72.6 yards in that category on the road.

 

Hanging Tough
The Chiefs are tied for first in the league in surrendering just 19 offensive touchdowns, which has been made possible by allowing foes to hit pay dirt on just 45.5 percent of their trips inside the red zone.

Kansas City has the ability to pressure Manning with its talented defensive line led by Justin Houston, while the entire stop unit has racked up 31 total sacks.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their Week 13 NFL picks, as the UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in this rivalry.

Free NFL Pick: Under 49.5 at BetOnline

Want more? Check these NFL picks for Week 13 Broncos vs. Chiefs 

Total & Spread Pick for Broncos vs. Chiefs

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