Sportsbooks Disagree with Rams-Buccaneers NFL Odds

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, September 10, 2014 1:15 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 10, 2014 1:15 PM UTC

After losing at home in their respective openers, both the Buccaneers and Rams need a pick-me-up, and one will get just that in Week 2 at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are the favorites at home – will they grab the ATS cover?

* * U P D A T E * *

The last time we checked, the Buccaneers were mostly favored by four points. Now, the home team is trading as 5.5- to 6-point favorites in the NFL odds

We're not surprised. Tampa Bay wasn't able to get a Week 1 win at home, but they get a chance at redemption against a St. Louis team that's reeling after an embarrassing home loss to Minnesota.

There are quite a few injuries to track leading up until kickoff.

For St. Louis, the big question is whether backup-turned-starter Shaun Hill will be able to start. He's currently questionable. 

The Buccaneers have Doug Martin listed as questionable, and they could also be missing both of their starting defensive ends. William Gholston is questionable, while Michael Johnson has already been ruled out.

Nonetheless, we still think Tampa Bay is the right side. We're not backing St. Louis after that abomination in Week 1, so we'll see if the Buccaneers can secure a victory to get back on track.

NFL Picks: Buccaneers -5.5

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* * O R I G I N A L * *

Neither of these teams did much to inspire confidence heading into Week 2, but it's Tampa Bay that's the favorite at home.

The NFL odds are kind of all over the place for this game. The opening number saw the Buccaneers favored by 3.5 points, but the spread ranges from 4 to even as high as 7 at 5Dimes. That's a huge disparity right there.

We're not surprised to see a low total of 37 on the board. Both defenses have a lot of talent, while the offenses were sputtering in Week 1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, -6.0 margin of victory

St. Louis Rams in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, -28.0 margin of victory

The Buccaneers did at least manage to make a recovery and get back in the game against Carolina after a rough start, but they can't be happy with their overall play in a home loss. That's especially true when you consider the Panthers were without starting quarterback Cam Newton.

Josh McCown didn't have the best of debuts for his new team, throwing for 183 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions while running for an additional 27 yards. However, it was the run game that was non-existent, with Doug Martin and Bo Rainey totaling a mere 21 yards on 13 combined carries in the loss.

No matter how ineffective the Buccaneers looked in their Week 1 defeat, it still didn't come close to touching the disappointing Rams. St. Louis was smacked around by Minnesota at home and would go on to lose 36-16. Coming in, Jeff Fisher's team was favored.

With Sam Bradford out for the season, Shaun Hill stepped in, but it wasn't long before he was knocked out too. Little-known Austin Davis came in and completed 16-of-23 passes for 192 yards with one interception, and was unable to lead the Rams to a single touchdown.

Zac Stacy (43 rushing yards) didn't fare much better, and the defense was awful against Matt Cassel and the Vikings. Fisher has a lot of things to fix leading into Week 2, that's for sure.

You can see why the lines are moving the way they are. We feel much better about Tampa Bay's chances than we do St. Louis', so there's a good chance we'll be putting our faith in McCown and the Bucs for our NFL picks again in Week 2.

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