Sports Betting Picks: Thursday's Best Bets Across The Board

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, October 29, 2015 4:29 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 29, 2015 4:29 PM GMT

Today we feature our top college football picks, NFL picks, NHL picks and NBA picks. Yes that's right it's a veritable buffet of sports betting action tonight and we've got the best bets right here.

NFL - Miami vs. New England (-8)
The NFL odds makers opened the Patriots at -7 ½ and it has spiked to as high as nine in some shops. But there are plenty of 8's still around and since we can't get New England -7 then we'll just have to hope it goes exactly the way I see it going, which is the Pats winning by double digits in this Thursday night AFC East tilt.

So the Dolphins have captured the attention of every fan around the league with their sudden resurgence since firing Joe Philbin and replacing him with a Sergeant Slaughter look-alike in Dan Campbell. The Fins have gone 2-0, the defense looks reborn and Ryan Tannehill is en fuego. But seriously who have they beaten? The answer is two lousy teams in Tennessee and Houston. They spanked both good no doubt but this is where the rubber hits the road - Foxboro, Massachusetts - where dreams go to die.

Ryan Tannehill is counting on time, time to pass that is. But the New England Patriots boast a very good defensive front and none more so than Chandler Jones who has 6 ½ sacks already on the season. While everybody knows the Pats got significantly weaker in their secondary as they watched Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner take their talents to New York and New Orleans respectively what many overlook is the high draft picks on the defensive line. This is a unit built for disruption and I don't see Tannehill getting the luxury of sitting in the pocket and cycling through his receivers with time to spare. On the flipside we all know what the offensive juggernaut of New England can do and will do tonight against a team that is middling at best against the pass and 30th against the run. This one's a blowout.

NFL Pick: Tonight take the Patriots -8 at GTBets

 

College Football - Oregon +3 (-120) vs. Arizona State
I feel quite certain that the odds makers have the wrong favorite but because I am not infallible I will happily take the points and include the Ducks in my College Football Picks.  Oregon travels to Arizona State fresh off the heels of a solid 26-20 victory over Washington as three-point underdogs. They come into this one as three point dogs as well but just like last week this Ducks team will prove that the College Football Odds makers are in error. The Ducks will have their way with the Sun Devils in the desert.

College Football Big Moves for Thursday

The key to victory is the combination of Oregon quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. and the return of speed merchant Darren Carrington who caught five passes for 125 yards and grabbed a pair of touchdown passes in his return from suspension last week. Despite the bevy of blitzes that Adams is sure to face he can quell the storm with quick strikes to outlet receivers and giving the rock to the monster that is Royce Freeman. Watch Freeman roll right past, through and around all those ASU blitzers chewing up miles of green in the process.

While ASU has the home field advantage don't be fooled. The Oregon Ducks are a much better team than their record illustrates and have won the last eight meetings in this series. Number nine comes tonight.

College Football Pick: Play the Ducks +3 (-120) at at Youwager

 

NBA - Mavericks (+11) vs. Clippers
It takes a deep breath and big gulp of air to include a double digit favorite so early on in one's NBA Picks but I am having none of it because this line is out of whack. We have two teams, both 1-0 to start the season and the NBA Odds makers are hoping there are enough squares that will close their eyes, bet the home chalk and cross their fingers. Not me and not you either.

Both teams played and won last night but the Mavericks did it in much more impressive fashion and against a better team. If you cracked open a cold one and watched the NBA you would have seen the Mavs put on a show in the desert by beating the Suns 111-95. On the flipside the Clips seemed to struggle more than they should have in Sacramento but still came away on top by the score of 111-104.

This is a retooled team from last season and the depth they added has already manifested when you consider the Dallas bench scored 51 points. Point guard Raymond Felton made his presence known with 18 points to lead a very balanced Mavericks' attack. Let's also not forget that no Dallas player toiled more than 26 minutes last night while Blake Griffin and Chris Paul of LA clocked in at 38 and 37 minutes respectively. Also consider that both teams were on the road and both had about the same amount of time in the air to arrive in LA last night. Small things but we need to examine all the angles.

Let's not forget that the Clippers have failed to cover the number in four straight games as a home favorite of 10 points or more. Dallas is also 2-1 ATS when playing the Clips in LA over the last three meetings.

NBA Pick: Play Dallas +11 at GTBets

 

NHL - Canadiens (-141) vs. Oilers
The NHL Oddsmakerss opened this line with Montreal listed as -150 road favorites but that has dropped which usually gives me cause for pause. Is something fishy going on? Who is betting the Oilers and why? I am venturing a guess that the Habs may decide to sit All-World goalie Carey Price after experiencing their first loss of the season on Tuesday night when they fell to the Canucks 5-1. But that just might work in our favor as Price has been in net for eight of the Canadiens 10 games and his backup Mike Condon has acquitted himself quite well winning both his starts. Price looked tired in Montreal's first loss of the season and I wouldn't shy away one bit if the backup got the start. This Montreal team has terrific balance and are better in all areas than the opponent they are facing tonight.

Edmonton is in the midst of a three game losing streak and brings a 3-7 record into this contest. They were one of the very worst teams in the league last season and I dare say not much has changed. Check out a few stats below:

Montreal is 5-1 on the road this season

Montreal is 7-1 as a favorite this season

Montreal is 32-21 on the road since last season

Montreal is 3-0 when line is between -135 and -165 this season.

Edmonton is 1-3 at home this season

Edmonton is 16-29 at home since last season

The long and short of this one is that the Canadiens are a Stanley Cup contender while the Edmonton Oilers will be lucky to avoid the basement of the Pacific division. Don't worry about a Habs' hangover from their first loss of the season either. They are too good and their opponent tonight is simply not good enough.

NHL Pick: Play the Canadiens -141 at BetOnline

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