It’s the stretch run of the NFL season, and I am back once again. Here are my three best prop picks from the NFL Odds at Bet365 for tonight’s battle between the Vikings and Cardinals.
Arizona Cardinals O/U 13.5 1H Points
The Cardinals are riding a six game winning streak SU heading into this one against the Vikings, and while they have beaten some tough opponents on this stretch, the Vikings present their toughest game in the last three weeks. Even at home, they had had issues scoring in the first half, and against a Vikings defense that is more than formidable, I think the under is actually the play here. The Cardinals have been a slow starting team over this winning streak, and most of their scoring comes after half time. In their last three games, the Cardinals average only about seven points scored in the first half, and if you stretch it out past that, the Cardinals are averaging only 11 points in the first halves of their last five games. Even though they will likely be getting back some players this week like Andre Ellington, look for the Cards to cash the under here before scoring more in the second half. The even money value this game presents is too much NFL odds value to ignore.
Free NFL Pick: UNDER 13.5 (+100)
Teddy Bridgewater O/U 17.5 Rushing Yards
Teddy Two Gloves, as Andrew Siciliano calls him, comes into this early-week matchup with a rushing yards total of only 17.5. While the Vikings don’t really design run plays for Bridgewater, there is a possibility for a play to break down tonight and he could easily get above his yards total on one rushing attempt. He hasn’t run the ball much over the last two weeks, but that is one of the reasons this yards total is lower this week. In Weeks 10 and 11 he rushed for a combined 66 yards on six carries, and if you take into account the two games before Week 10, he has rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries in his last six games. On top of that, the Cardinals rank fourth in the NFL in rushing yards given up to quarterbacks, so even though Adrian Peterson will be running the ball a lot tonight, there is also the possibility that the Vikings get behind in this one, forcing Bridgewater to throw more. With pass attempts come scrambles, and hopefully rushing yards for the young Vikings QB.
Free NFL Pick: OVER 17.5 rushing yards (-125)
Michael Floyd O/U 55.5 Receiving Yards
The Cardinals’, Michael Floyd has been hit or miss this season. With the wealth of options at Carson Palmer’s disposal, and with injuries that delayed the start to his season, Floyd hasn’t been anywhere close to what he was last season. However, with the exception of a dud against the 49ers two weeks ago, Floyd has hit at least 100 yards receiving in the Cards; last three games. However, this week against the Vikings, his prospects of getting above the yards total of 55.5 is a question mark. The Vikings have a better pass defense than most give them credit for, and even at home this week, Floyd’s track record hasn’t been great. Floyd is only averaging 37 receiving yards per game at home this season, and I am going with the trend here and taking the under on Thursday night.
Free NFL Pick: UNDER 55.5 receiving yards (-130)