Special Props for Week 8 NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, October 23, 2014 5:45 PM GMT

A successful Week 7 on Bovada's special props, hitting on Peyton Manning throwing his record 509th TD pass and that throw being 'under' 12.5 yards. Also hit on Philip Rivers with a QB rating under 110.5 vs. the Chiefs. Here are your Week 8 NFL odds.

Will Aaron Rodgers Have at Least Three TD Passes & No Interceptions vs. Saints?
Yes is +250 and no -400 on NFL odds. Rodgers has jumped into the NFL MVP conversation -- he is the +600 third favorite at sportsbooks -- with a tremendous four-game stretch, all Packers wins, where he has thrown at least three scores and no picks in each game. That ties the consecutive games streak held by New England's Tom Brady in his 2007 MVP season. Rodgers has 18 total touchdowns and a single interception this season. New Orleans has been a  massive disappointment at 2-4. It ranks No. 28 overall against the pass in yards per game and has allowed 11 TD passes with only three interceptions.

NFL free pick: Rodgers and Drew Brees have had three shootouts when facing off in the past. Take yes as it's great value for your NFL picks at that price.

 

How Many Turnovers Will the Carolina Panthers Have vs. Seattle: 'Over/Under' 1.5
'Under' is the -150 favorite on NFL odds. The Seahawks' defense last season was dominant and mentioned among the best ever with the likes of the 1985 Bears, 2000 Ravens and those Steel Curtain Pittsburgh clubs. This year, the defense is largely to blame for Seattle's shocking 3-3 record. Problem No. 1 appears to be forcing turnovers. Last year the Seahawks led the NFL with 39 takeaways and by a mile with 28 interceptions. This season the Seahawks are 29th with five takeaways and have only two picks. Carolina has been pretty solid hanging onto the ball with seven giveaways. The best defense the Panthers have faced at home this season was Detroit and they didn't turn it over. It's a fairly conservative offense.

NFL free pick: The weather looks spectacular in Charlotte for Sunday so it shouldn't be a sloppy game. Go 'under.'

 

Colt McCoy Total Passing Yards on Monday vs. Dallas: 'Over/Under' 235.5
Both options are -115 on NFL prop odds. Remember back around Week 3 when some Redskins fans were trumpeting Kirk Cousins as the team's quarterback of the future and that it was time to cut loose Robert Griffin III? That seems laughable now as Cousins is a turnover machine. He was pulled after two more giveaways last Sunday with the Redskins down 10-6 at the half at home to a lousy Titans team. McCoy replaced Cousins and McCoy looked like he did at Texas: great. He was 11-for-12 with a touchdown and led Washington's come-from-behind win. Coach Jay Gruden wasted no time naming McCoy his starter for Monday's game at Dallas. Sure, McCoy looked good against Tennessee but the Titans didn't plan for him. The Cowboys have all week to do so. There's a reason McCoy was a bust in Cleveland. The Cowboys allow 230.0 passing yards per game. No. 12 in the NFL.

NFL free pick: It's not that hard to reach 236 yards in the  modern-day NFL, but McCoy isn't any good. Go 'under' for your NFL picks. 

 

Will the Raiders Finish 0-16? Will They Get the No. 1 Overall Pick In the 2015 draft?
On the first prop, yes is +700 and no -1500 on NFL odds. On the second, yes is -200 and no +150. Oakland does look terrible, topping 14 points once so far. The team does seem to be playing a bit better under interim coach Tony Sparano. Realistic chances for wins are this week at Cleveland, Week 12 short week vs. Kansas City, Week 13 at St. Louis, Week 16 vs. Buffalo and Week 17 at Denver. The last one, what? That's if the Broncos have nothing to play for.

NFL free picks: No on 0-16 and absolutely yes on the draft pick. No way Oakland wins more than two games and probably gets just one. Every other NFL team will get at least three victories.

 

Will There be a Streaker During Lions-Falcons Game?
Yes is +600 and no -1000 on NFL odds. This game in London is a major treat for NFL fans who rise early on Sunday as the kick is at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. That's the earliest start in league history by all accounts, and the game will be nationally televised as the league is interested in what ratings it will draw. I have no opinion on this prop, I just think it's awesome.