Solid Week 4 on my special props, hitting 'UNDER' 7.5 games decided by at least 10 points, Joe Philbin as 1st coach fired & carries for Alfred Morris. Here are my special prop NFL picks Week 5.
'Over/Under' 9 Total Missed Field Goals This Week
It has been a rough year for kickers. This week alone, two lost their jobs: Tampa Bay's Kyle Brindza and Pittsburgh's Josh Scobee. Brindza, a rookie, was released by the Bucs after missing five field goals and two extra points combined in his previous two games. He was just 6-for-12 on field goals this year. Tampa signed Connor Barth. Pittsburgh lost at home last Thursday to Baltimore essentially because Scobee missed two fourth-quarter field goals that would have all but clinched things. Scobee also missed two kicks in the season opener. He has been replaced by rookie Chris Boswell. He's Pittsburgh's fourth kicker already. There were a whopping 14 field goals missed last week (and four extra points). The Jaguars' Jason Myers twice missed a game-winning field-goal attempt vs. Indianapolis, once in regulation and once in overtime. But the overall field-goal percentage (83.5%) is currently down only slightly from 2014 (84%). Since 2010, the most field goals missed in a week was 19 in Week 10 of 2011.
NFL Free Pick: Keep in mind there are only 14 games this week with four teams on a bye. Still go 'OVER.' There are a lot of young kickers in the NFL right now.
Will Antonio Brown Have At Least 5 Catches & 50 Yards?
Think Brown misses the injured Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger already? In the Week 4 Thursday loss to Baltimore with backup Michael Vick at quarterback, Brown was held to five catches for 42 yards. The ended Brown's NFL-record streak of 35 straight games with at least five grabs and 50 yards. The timing between Vick and Brown was clearly off. But then again, Vick and Brown only had a few practices together. Now they have had a full week. Pittsburgh is in San Diego on Monday night. The Bolts are No. 11 against the pass and 3-point favorites on NFL odds.
NFL Free Pick: YES at -350.
Will Greg Hardy Have At Least A Half-Sack Vs Patriots?
Hardy, the former Carolina Panthers defensive end, makes his Dallas Cowboys debut Sunday against New England and Hardy is so ready for action. He says he is ready to come out "guns blazing." Hardy hasn't played since Week 1 of last season due to suspensions because of a domestic incident. He was originally suspended the first 10 games this season but that was reduced to four. This guy is a beast when motivated; he had 15 sacks in 2013 with the Panthers.
NFL Free Pick: Hard to get to Tom Brady, but go YES at +120.
Total Wins For Miami Dolphins This Season?
The 'over/under' is six on NFL picks. As mentioned above, the Dolphins became the first team to fire their coach this season, dumping Philbin on Monday. It was the second straight year that the Dolphins were involved in a coach firing after a Week 4 game in London. Last year, Miami beat Oakland in London that week to send the Raiders to 0-4 and the team fired Dennis Allen. And then last Sunday, the Dolphins lost to the Jets in London and then Philbin was informed of his fate when he returned to the U.S. If you saw that Jets game, the Miami players just clearly didn't care anymore. Tight ends coach Dan Campbell is the interim coach and he's a pretty fiery guy. Miami is 1-3 and off this week. Its remaining schedule is: at Titans, vs. Texans, at Patriots, at Bills, at Eagles, vs. Cowboys (likely Tony Romo's return from injury), at Jets, vs. Ravens, vs. Giants, at Chargers, vs. Colts, vs. Patriots. That's tough! I'm not sure I six wins there, which you would need to go 'over.'
NFL Free Pick: Might be a push, but go 'UNDER' at -120.
Will Chip Kelly Be The Eagles Coach In 2016?
The rumors of Kelly returning to college already have begun. But well-respected Bleacher Report NFL Insider Mike Freeman recently reported that Kelly "has told people in the Eagles organization that he isn't moving back to college, and the idea that he would now is ridiculous." And it's not like Kelly would be a big-time target for another NFL team at the moment.
NFL Free Pick: YES at -250.