Special Betting Props To Consider For Your Week 12 NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, November 25, 2015 10:40 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 25, 2015 10:40 PM UTC

I didn't look at any Bovada NFL specials for Week 11 as the site only offered props on backup quarterbacks Brock Osweiler and Case Keenum. Yawn! Not a huge selection this week, either, but here are my Week 12 recommendations.

Cleveland Browns Wins Rest Of Regular Season
The 'over/under' is 1.5, with the 'over' a -150 favorite on NFL odds. Of course this prop is a result of Cleveland benching starting quarterback Johnny Manziel in the wake of his latest partying episode during last week's bye. A video surfaced of Manziel drinking with friends in Texas and he claimed it was an old video that just surfaced. Yeah right. Manziel had been warned by Coach Mike Pettine to be on his best behavior during the off week as Pettine had just committed to Manziel the rest of the season as his guy. Now he's third string and probably won't dress for Monday's game vs. Baltimore. It's very tough to see how Manziel plays another down for the franchise. The team will try to trade the former Heisman winner this offseason but no club likely would bite because they all know that the Browns will eventually release Manziel.  Then someone will sign him. So Josh McCown returns as the starter and while he's not great, he's probably an upgrade under center. The Browns are favored for Monday's game against Baltimore, which just lost QB Joe Flacco and running back Justin Forsett to season-ending injuries. You have to think Cleveland wins that. The rest of the schedule is: vs. Bengals, vs. 49ers, at Seahawks, at Chiefs, vs. Steelers. The Browns will only be favored against San Francisco.

NFL Picks: 'Over,' with wins against the Ravens and 49ers. Maybe the Steelers have nothing to play for in Week 17 as well.


How Many Offensive Yards Will Eagles Allow In Week 12?
The 'over/under' is 390, with both options at -120. Philly, a perfect 6-0 all-time on Thanksgiving, is at Detroit in the first of three games on Thursday. The Eagles are on a two-game losing streak and the defense was gashed for 45 points in last week's home loss to Tampa Bay. Bucs rookie quarterback Jameis Winston had five touchdown passes (tying an NFL rookie record) and it should have been six if not for a drop. The Bucs also rushed for 283 yards (158 above their average). Tampa running back Doug Martin had broken the Eagles' opponent record for most rushing yards, which is 237 by the Cowboys' Emmitt Smith, but lost five yards on his last three carries late to fall two yards short. Overall, the Bucs had 521 yards. Philly fans want the head of defensive coordinator Bill Davis, who took the blame for that loss, but Coach Chip Kelly says he's standing by Davis and says he has "tremendous confidence" in him. Maybe Kelly can hire Davis when Kelly takes the USC job this offseason. Overall, the Eagles allow 374.4 yards per game, 25th in the NFL. The Lions are 25th in total offense, averaging 336.4 yards per game.

NFL Picks: 'Under.' The Lions have struggled offensively all season.


How Many Offensive Yards Will Saints Allow Week 12?
The 'over/under' is 385, with both at -120. New Orleans is in Houston on Sunday. The Saints are off their bye week, and during it head coach Sean Payton  fired defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, which was frankly way overdue. It came in the wake of an embarrassing 47-14 loss in Washington on Nov. 15. The Redskins aren't exactly an offensive powerhouse but they had than 300 passing yards (301), over 200 rushing yards (209) and 8.9 yards per offensive play. The Saints defense became only the sixth since the merger to allow an opposing offense to hit those three marks in a game. The Saints are last in points allowed (315 -- more than eight teams did all of last season), yards (4,243), yards per play (6.7), passing touchdowns (28), net yards per pass attempt (7.9) and rushing yards per carry (5.0). Replacing Ryan is former Raiders head coach Dennis Allen, whose previous title with New Orleans was senior defensive assistant. Allen was fired during last season as head coach of the Raiders. Before that he spent just one season as a defensive coordinator, in Denver in 2011. The Texans are expecting back starting QB Brian Hoyer from a concussion for this game after he sat out Week 11. Houston ranks 13th in the NFL in averaging 357.5 yards per game.

NFL Picks: 'Under' as Houston isn't all that explosive.

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