Sleepers To Spot for Your Week 7 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Thursday, October 22, 2015 12:20 AM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 12:20 AM GMT

We look at the NFL odds on offer for week 7 matchups and serve up a couple of sleeper NFL picks for you to spot on your wagering tickets. There’s no shortage of surprises or upsets after all in the NFL.

Lions +2.5 Over Vikings
Only last week the Lions were the only team yet to get into the win column, but that’s not reason enough to send the Vikings into this clash as the road chalk surely. To begin with, the Vikings are 0-2 SU with a 10-point losing margin on the road this season. Then there’s Teddy Bridgewater’s numbers to consider, which are hardly awe-inspiring with just four touchdowns and a passer rating of 80.4 (25th in the league) through five games.

Indeed, the second year quarterback has only one road win in seven successive starts on the road, going back to last season – the 19-13 OT win over the “might” Tampa Bay Buccaneers in week 8. Since then, he’s on a five-game losing streak on the road with losses to Chicago, Detroit and Miami (all in 2014), and San Francisco and Denver this season. Since 2014, the Vikings are 6-4 ATS on the road with a 4.2-point losing margin. However, only one instance saw them dubbed the road favourites during that stretch, producing a 0-1 ATS record and a 10-point losing margin. Clearly, the role of road favourite isn’t something they are used to being.

Lions finally snapped the negative trend with an overtime 37-34 win over the Bears but failed to cover as the 3.5-point home chalk. That’s not going to concern the Lions right now is it? The important thing is that they won a game and showed fighting spirt. Granted it was a close one and the Lions looked in danger of losing yet again when Jay Cutler and the Bears rallied to tie the game and send it into overtime. But they held it together and got the job done in overtime, which shows grit. Matthew Stafford threw for 405 yards and 4 touchdown passes and 1 interception in the side’s first winning effort, a week after being benched. Calvin Johnson had 166 yards receiving and one touchdown. Look for the Lions to turn the NFL odds in their favour when they take on the Vikings in week 7.

NFL Picks: Lions +2.5 (-110) at bet365

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Saints +5 Over Colts
The Colts’ playoff revenge game with the Patriots last week was a spectacular flop, particularly the horrible special team gaff that’s earned the nickname “What the Chuck?” play. It seems there’s no shortage of catch-phrases being coined where Andrew Luck and the Colts are involved…Deflate-gate, No Luck Colts, what the chuck? Play….it goes on.  

Makes one wonder what lovely phrases will emerge from this game when all is said and done. Scarier thought though is whether Chuck decides to call that play again and again until the Colts get it right, if only to prove that he’s not a bonehead but rather budding genius.

In any event, we digress.

Might as well get straight to the point, which is the Colts have been largely uninspiring and unconvincing this season. It was not without some luck (no pun intended) that they won three games this season to enjoy a 3-3 SU record, all of which – incidentally – were wins over divisional opponents the Titans, Jaguars and Texans. In other words, they are 0-3 SU outside of their division this season, which is hardly a ringing endorsement of their favourable NFL odds, now is it?

Granted Drew Brees and the Saints haven’t performed exceptionally well either this season behind a 2-4 SU mark and a 0-3 SU mark on the road. However, some of their struggles are down to a tough schedule to start the season three road games in five weeks, as well as Drew Brees’ shoulder injury.

The Saints were buoyed by a huge win in Thursday Night Football, which can’t be downplayed enough. It was a statement-making win over the previously high-flying, undefeated Falcons that could send them into this game with a measure of optimism. Let’s not forget, they also have 10 days rest ahead of their date with Andrew Luck and the Colts.

Obviously, this game could be a huge let-down for the Saints – it’s common after a big win for teams to lose some of the momentum. On the flipside, this is a deceptive non-divisional matchup for the Colts. Since Luck took over the starting role in Indianapolis, the Colts are 20-19 SU and ATS in non-divisional games with a 4.5-point losing margin. To put it simply, one could argue that Andrew Luck and the Colts are only as good as their division is weak.

Until the Colts can consistently produce outside of their division the sort of results that would make them a solid NFL pick, it’s always going to be attractive to us to look for ways to bet against them. This is such an opportunity we can’t pass up on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Saints +5 (-110) at Bovada

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