Now that Tony Romo has survived his overseas trip, the sharps are more than happy to add the Cowboys to their Week 12 NFL picks. Not a difficult choice with New York providing the opposition.
Jason’s record after Week 10: 28-39 ATS, 11-16-1 Totals
Profit: minus-37.63 units
This is the greatest season of Tony Romo’s career so far. Despite all the injuries and all the naysayers, Romo has put up his best numbers yet, including a league high 68.8-percent completion rate to go with his sparkling 107.2 passer rating. Romo even led his Dallas Cowboys (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) to a 31-17 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) in Week 9. Not impressed with him beating the Jaguars? What if we told you he did it with a broken back, after flying all the way to London?
The sharps were definitely impressed. So impressed that they made the Cowboys a unanimous early NFL pick for our next very special episode of Sunday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, NBC). Dallas had its grand opening as a 3-point road chalk at high vigorish against the New York Giants (3-7 SU and ATS), losers of five straight games SU and ATS. Okay, maybe it’s more of a vote against New York than for Dallas. But it’s going to be difficult to fade the Cowboys this week.
Waitress in the Sky
Flying back and forth between American and Europe isn’t good for your body. Studies have established that travelling any more than two hours by plane will mess up your mental processes and your fine motor skills – especially when you fly eastward. Players are more susceptible to injury in these situations. So the fact that Romo (20-of-27 for 246 yards, three TDs and zero INTs) was able to play so well against the Jaguars at Wembley deserves added praise.
Dallas had the bye in Week 11 to recover, while the Giants were 16-10 losers at home to the San Francisco 49ers (–4) on Sunday. It’s been incredible to witness the G-Men falling apart after they won three straight games earlier this season, but those three games were against middling opponents, while the next five were against very tough teams – including their 31-21 loss at Dallas (–4.5) in Week 7. Again, not a tough choice for the sharps.
Join in the conversation. Will Dallas be stronger than the NY Giants?
Legalize Josh Gordon
We also saw unanimous support right out of the gate for Thursday night’s tilt between the Kansas City Chiefs (–6 away) and the Oakland Raiders; we’ve already discussed that matchup in our opening odds report, so let’s move right along to the Cleveland Browns (6-4 SU, 5-3-2 ATS), who checked in at 96 percent consensus as 3.5-point road dawgs for their game against the Atlanta Falcons (4-6 SU and ATS). That’s your NFC South-leading Atlanta Falcons, by the way. They beat the Carolina Panthers 19-17 on Sunday to take the division lead, although they dropped the cash as 2.5-point road faves.
Cleveland, meanwhile, lost to the Houston Texans (+4.5 away) 23-7 to slide back into the NFC North basement. However, the sharps may be looking for some regression to the mean here after Browns QB Brian Hoyer set a franchise record with 30 incompletions against Houston. More importantly, WR Josh Gordon will be making his return after serving a 10-game suspension for violating the league’s anti-weed policy. Gordon led the NFL last year with 1,646 receiving yards. He’s pretty good.
We end our early tour of Sharp City this week with the Denver Broncos (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS), who are pulling in 95 percent consensus as we go to press for Sunday’s tilt against the Miami Dolphins (6-4 SU and ATS). Denver opened as a 7.5-point home chalk despite losing 22-7 to the St. Louis Rams (+8 at home) – yes, the St. Louis Rams. And the Dolphins are coming off a huge 22-9 win over the Buffalo Bills (+4 away) last Thursday night, so they’ll have had a few extra days of rest. Very interesting indeed.