Separating the Men from the Boys: Week 6 Lessons for NFL Bettors

David Lawrence

Monday, October 13, 2014 12:37 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 13, 2014 12:37 PM GMT

Aside from the Monday Night Football affair, Week 6 is in the books. Here’s what we learned from another crazy weekend of NFL betting action.

The Atlanta Falcons Are Weak
Two years ago, the Falcons were 13-3. Last season, they were one of the worst teams in the NFL. Many people felt that maybe last year was a blip on the radar and that this season, they’d get back on track. That’s not happening. The challenge for the Falcons is that they have a great quarterback and passing game, but not much else. They can’t run the ball (21st in NFL), their offensive line is banged up and on the other side of the ball, they have the league’s second-worst defense (419 yards per game).

They’re just having a really tough time competing. Since their overtime Week 1 win at home to the New Orleans Saints, they’ve dropped four of five with their lone win coming at home to the lowly Tampa Bay Buccaneers. All four of their losses have been by at least double-digits, so they are really having a tough time competing with anyone who is marginally good.

 

The Dallas Cowboys Defense Is Significantly Improved
Nobody is all that surprised with what the Dallas Cowboys offense has done through six weeks of the season but it’s time to be impressed by what the defense has done. This was a unit that gave up more yards than anyone else last season but is now 14th best in that category. They are actually 7th in the NFL in points per game allowed, which is incredible. They allowed 27 points per game last season but so far, are giving up just 21 per game this season. Since giving up 28 to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 1, they’ve allowed an average of 19.6 per outing.

While the Cowboys offense gets plenty of credit, the defense is the part of the team that’s most improved.

 

The Arizona Cardinals Are A Team To Be Reckoned With
It’s not always pretty but the Cardinals are a team that continues to fight, scratch and claw every single week. It’s hard to believe that since Bruce Arians took over, the Cardinals are now 14-7, which includes their 4-1 record this season. And while the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers have battle through some early season rigors, it’s actually the Cardinals that sit in first place in the NFC West right now. They also have wins over San Diego and San Francisco.

What makes it more impressive is that the Cardinals have played only two games with their starting quarterback and six of their seven starters from the defensive front seven that was so dominant last season. This is a well-coached team.

 

No Team Is Going Winless This Season
Although some people took a shot with the 25/1 NFL betting prop that a team will go 0-16 this season, it’s looking less and less likely that’ll be the case. The remaining options are either the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-6) or the Oakland Raiders (0-5) but both should get multiple wins.

Neither are particularly competent but both have enough talent to make sure this doesn’t come to fruition. The Raiders are in tough with their schedule as they host Arizona next week before going to Cleveland and Seattle, the coming home to Denver and going on the road to San Diego. It’s likely all of those amount in losses. However, a couple of contests with Kansas City, a visit to St. Louis and a home matchup with Buffalo should present them some chances.

As for the Jags, Blake Bortles seems to have this team on the rise. This week, they were a blocked field goal away from a win. Next week, they host Cleveland and the following week, they host Miami. Later in the season, they’ll host the New York Giants, Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans. This team won’t go winless.

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