Seahawks vs. Cardinals Week 7 Thursday Night Football: NFL Picks

Jason Lake

Wednesday, October 16, 2013 6:38 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2013 6:38 PM GMT

If you were one of the early birds betting on the NFL this week, you had a chance to get the Seattle Seahawks at a bargain price for Thursday night’s matchup with the Arizona Cardinals.


Follow our complete coverage of the Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Thursday Night Football game! First, check out our Opening Odds Report!

You have to be quick on the mouse button these days. The 24/7 online world isn’t going to wait for you to make your football bets; if you’re not jumping on those NFL betting lines at the open, you’re leaving money on the table, and the sharps are scooping it all up for themselves. For the most part, anyway. Sometimes it’s better to wait until just before kick-off before you place your NFL bet. It all depends on which team you prefer, and what side the public is on.

So are you a bit early or a bit late for Thursday Night Football? Curiously, maybe both. The Seattle Seahawks opened as 4.5-point road favorites for their matchup against the Arizona Cardinals, but after getting the bulk of the early action, Seattle was quickly moved to –6, then to –6.5 and even as high as –7 as we went to press. Looks like some tough decisions will have to be made.

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Seattle Stew

Betting the point spread? Read our Seahawks vs. Cardinals Betting the Spread breakdown first!

If you’ve already got Seattle –4.5 or thereabouts, you’re probably enjoying life right about now. The Seahawks (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) have been outstanding this season, ranking second overall behind the Denver Broncos in efficiency going into last week’s 20-13 victory over the Tennessee Titans. However, Seattle was an 11-point home chalk in that matchup, making just enough errors (most notably a botched field goal attempt that was returned for a Titans touchdown) to drop the cash for the second straight game.

Understandable, then, if you’re a little less intrigued about the possibility of laying seven points to the undervalued Cardinals (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS). They’ve still got a lot of work to do in their rebuilding project, but they’ve moved up from No. 26 on last year’s efficiency charts to No. 24 through Week 5, and the Cards may climb even higher this week despite losing 32-20 to the San Francisco 49ers (–10 at home) in a game that was closer than the final score indicates.

Or is wagering on the total more to your liking? Our Seahawks vs. Cardinals Betting the Total article breaks it down for you!

Middle Me This

Since we’re talking about a Thursday night game featuring two West Coast teams who aren’t the 49ers, it’s hard to call either side a public favorite. But not that hard. The Seahawks are playing excellent football, and they’ve climbed all the way to No. 4 on the public money charts – yes, even higher than No. 5 Denver, and certainly much higher than No. 20 Arizona. The football betting public loves its favorites.

If people keep betting on Seattle, and the NFL point spread moves to –7.5, that opens up a tasty middle opportunity for those of you who already have the Seahawks at –4.5. It would also make it that much more difficult not to go with the Cardinals as a stand-alone sports pick. Arizona has covered both its games at home this year; Seattle is 2-1 ATS on the road thus far, but it took come-from-behind wins over the Carolina Panthers (+3) and the Houston Texans (+1) to make it happen.

Desertification

You might recall that Seattle was a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS at home last year, but only 3-5 SU and ATS on the road. Too bad the Seahawks don’t get to take their “12th Man” home crowd to the desert. Arizona managed to beat them 20-16 in their 2012 season-opener at The U, on one of those rare occasions when QB Kevin Kolb was healthy (replacing the injured John Skelton mid-game and engineering the winning drive). By Week 14, it was Skelton and Ryan Lindley at quarterback, and Seattle destroyed the Cards 58-0 in their rematch at The Clink.

This is why I’m taking Arizona for my NFL picks in this situation, with QB Carson Palmer at the helm. And seven points will have to do for now; in the real world, I’d be waiting right up until game time (8:25 p.m. ET, NFLN) to see if I could get a better price. All we need is just a little patience.

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NFL Pick: Take the Cardinals +6.5 (-110) on the point spread at Bet365

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Interested in the rest of Week 7's games? Follow our coverage with our NFL Week 7 Betting Odds Report! 
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