San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams Free NFL Picks for Week 8

David Lawrence

Sunday, November 1, 2015 12:56 PM GMT

It is time for San Francisco to push the panic button as they're now 2-5 after getting routed by Seattle at home, and there are reports of locker-room problems. 

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -8 -105 at Pinnacle
St. Louis opened up the NFL odds as an 8-point favorite at home, then the line moved down to -7.5 before going back up to -8. Even though they're at home, the Rams are still only one win better than the 49ers, so this line looks high until you look at the matchup. Only one team has a worst points per game average than the Rams, and that is the 49ers, by 3.4 points at that. The Rams' defense is 10th in points scored and can lock down teams, and that isn't good news for Colin Kaepernick, who is going through one of the craziest declines we have seen in a quarterback in recent years.

 

Injuries
San Francisco won't have S Antoine Bethea, who might be out for the season with a pectoral injury, but he definitely won't play this week. However, the 49ers aren't worried about Kaepernick, who has a bad thumb, or RB Carlos Hyde, whose foot is bothering him.

For the Rams, LB Alec Ogletree is gone for a couple months because of his leg, and the team seems to think he'll be out until Week 16. LB James Laurinaitis hurt his elbow against Cleveland and is questionable, so keep an eye on that going forward.

 

Trends
The 49ers have covered the spread in just three of their last 13 games overall, and just once in their last five on the road. The Rams are 3-6 ATS in their last nine, but they've covered in two of their three home games this season. The total for this game is a wildly low 39.5, but fitting for these two teams. The 49ers have gone over in four of their last six, while the Rams have gone under in four of their last five.

The Rams are 3-6-1 SU in their last 10 meetings with the 49ers, but they've covered six times. At home, the Rams are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 against the 49ers.

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