San Diego Chargers vs Oakland Raiders Week 5 Predictions

Oakland Raiders team celebrating

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, October 5, 2016 10:37 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2016 10:37 PM GMT

The loser of Sunday's AFC West game between San Diego and Oakland wins the chance to move to Los Angeles next year! OK, not true but one of the clubs might head to L.A. The host Raiders are -4 on NFL odds with a total of 50.

 Chargers What To Watch For

This Sunday could very well be the final game in the Chargers head coaching career of Mike McCoy. He entered the season as a co-favorite on NFL props to be the first guy fired with Detroit's Jim Caldwell, but now McCoy stands alone at +260 to be the first one gone.

McCoy blew up in the post-game press conference following San Diego (1-3) gagging away a sure home win over New Orleans in Week 4. The Bolts led 34-21 with about five minutes left, but running back Melvin Gordon and receiver Travis Benjamin both lost careless fumbles that Drew Brees -- in his first game back in San Diego since leaving the franchise in free agency  a decade ago -- turned into touchdowns in the span of about three game minutes for the Saints and a 35-34 lead. Chargers QB Philip Rivers was picked off on his team's final drive. 

There's just no excuse for losing a game like that and McCoy said he was "furious." Blowing games late has been a trend for this game since last year. San Diego could easily be 4-0 in 2016. Only one team has lost this season after leading by 13 points or more in the fourth quarter: San Diego, which has done it twice (also Week 1).

San Diego will get back defensive lineman Damion Square from a four-game suspension for this game. Whether he plays will depend on his in shape he is. Meanwhile, defensive end Joey Bosa, the No. 3 overall pick in this year's draft, might make  his NFL debut off a hamstring injury.

If the city of San Diego doesn't vote for a tax hike for a new Chargers stadium on Nov. 8, the Bolts can leave for L.A. as early as next year. If the stadium passes, the option to move shifts to the Raiders.

San Diego is 2-2 ATS and 3-1 O/U.

 

Raiders What To Watch For

Oakland (3-1) has been one of the worst road teams in the NFL for more than a decade, but the Raiders improved to 3-0 away from home in Week 4 with a 28-27 comeback win in Baltimore -- the team's second win by a point already (35-34 in New Orleans in Week 1).

Raiders QB Derek Carr had four TD passes vs. the Ravens, three to Michael Crabtree (first Oakland player with three in 12 years). They hooked up for the winner from 23 yards out with 2:12 to go. The Oakland defense then never allowed the Ravens to get into field-goal range. It's the first time the Raiders are 3-0 on the road since 2000. The previous four times overall the franchise has done it, the team  played in the conference title game.

Statistically, the Raiders should lost to the Ravens. Oakland was outgained 412-261 and had 12 penalties. While the Raiders defense was a bit better in Baltimore, it still ranks last in the NFL by far in allowing 460 yards per game, last against the pass (325.5 ypg) and 31st against the run (134.5 ypg).

The Raiders swept San Diego last year for the first time since 2010. The one in Oakland was 23-20 in OT in Week 16 in what at the time was possibly the Raiders' last game in the city as they tried to move to L.A. for this year but the NFL allowed only the Rams.

Oakland is 3-1 ATS on picks and 3-1 O/U.

 

San Diego Chargers vs Oakland Raiders

That's a high total, but go 'over' it. Both teams could be in the 30s by early third quarter. Also take Oakland at home for your NFL week 4 picks. The Chargers are just 1-7 ATS in their past eight October games. 

 

Free NFL Picks: Oakland -3.5 & Over 49.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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