San Diego Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers Free Week 6 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 18, 2015 12:01 PM GMT

Sunday, Oct. 18, 2015 12:01 PM GMT

San Diego came up just short to fall to 2-3 with a last-second loss to Pittsburgh at home, and now they have a tougher task. They head to Green Bay to take on the 5-0 Packers.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -9.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The Packers were always going to be a huge betting favorite at home in this game, and they opened up as 9.5-point favorites. The NFL odds have moved to -10 and is now at -10.5 as bettors saw value. The Chargers might not even be as good as 2-3, but Philip Rivers is still the quarterback and has to be respected. Rivers leads the NFL in passing yards and is sixth in QBR, four spots lower than Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers, who will also be out to redeem himself as he threw two picks last week. It was the first time he has been picked off at Lambeau Field in three years, so he'll want to start a new streak, but Rivers gets up for these games against other marquee quarterbacks. This will be fun to watch.

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Injuries
The Chargers are still missing three offensive-line starters who won't be back this week, and WR Stevie Johnson has a bad hamstring that will probably keep him out of this game. LB Manti Te'o missed Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, so that has to be monitored as well.

For the Packers, they have a few players that are questionable, such as WR Davonte Adams with his bad ankle, although he practiced this week. G T.J. Lang (knee) and S Morgan Burnett (calf) practiced as well, but NT B.J. Raji (groin) didn't, so that is something to keep an eye out on for Green Bay.

 

Trends
San Diego has covered the betting spread in just one of their last six games, and they're 2-6 ATS in their last eight on the road. The Packers have covered their last five games in a row overall, and they're 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games at home.

The Packers have dominated the Chargers, going 6-1 SU and ATS in seven meetings, along the last win for San Diego came back in October 1984 in Green Bay, in which they covered. The Chargers are 1-2 SU and ATS in Green Bay.

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