Saddling up a Bills-Broncos-Rams-Saints 4-Leg Parlay Ride For NFL Week 9

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, November 1, 2017 4:42 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2017 4:42 PM UTC

We somehow won last writing in Week 8 with a chalk-infested Patriots-Cowboys-Steelers 3-teamer, so let’s try it again and push it to 4 games starting with the Thursday Night Football game and then try to bring the bacon home with three other picks from Sunday’s NFL betting menu.

Parlay Leg 1—Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets 

MetLife Stadium (FieldTurf), East Rutherford, NJ, 8:25 pm ET/5:25 pm PT, NFL Network

We start with the first game in the AFC East Thursday Night Football meeting between the Bills at the Jets in the NFL Week 9 lidlifter, and a moneyline side pick on the visiting Bills (-155, 5Dimes). Although the Jets are better than expected (3-5 SU, 5-2-1 ATS), Tyrod Taylor, LeSean McCoy and the Bills are playing as good as they have in many seasons and are 5-2 SU and 5-2-1 ATS and chasing the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots (6-2 SU) in the AFC East, thanks in great part to a Defense which has allowed just 115 points, the 2nd-lowest amount in the AFC behind the upstart Jaguars (110).

Some other reasons to like Buffalo (Unders 3-0 on Road) here are the series Trends which show the Bills to be 5-2 ATS the L7 against New York AFC, including a 21-12 win and ATS cover in Week 1 at Home in Buffalo as 7-point Favorites and the fact that the J-E-T-S Jets! Jets! Jets! will be flying in on a 3-game SU Losing Streak (NE, MIA, ATL), although New York has played better than expected and two of those three opponents were in the Super Bowl last season. One reason to like this Parlay is that even if the Jets pull off the mild upset, the ride will be over Thursday night and we won’t have to worry about saddling up our horses again on Sunday for last three legs, cowboy. Studies show a Parlay that loses on the opening leg takes 0 days of one’s precious Life while losing the last leg of any parlay with 4-legs or more takes 7 days off, unless that last leg is a 0-0 Draw in a Soccer match you have on the 8th-leg of an 8-team Parlay, which scientists say takes 22½ days off. Don’t ask.

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Parlay Leg 2—Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles

Lincoln Financial Field (Desso GrassMaster), Philadelphia, 1 pm ET/10 am PT, CBS

This second element combines three main thoughts: Denver may not be getting enough respect and will be in a foul mood after losing at Kansas City on Monday Night Football, Philadelphia may be getting a little too much respect and will be facing a team known for its Defense, and, the number, the 7½. The Broncos are very capable of beating the Eagles on Sunday but will need decent QB play and to win the Field Position battle and with a 20% chance to make the Playoffs now after a nasty 3-game skid, GM John Elway and the Broncos are reportedly considering going to Brock Osweiler at QB over current Denver starter Trevor Siemian (33.5 QBR). So whomever the Broncos employ at QB against Philadelphia, their downfield Passing game will be extremely limited meaning new Head Coach Vance Joseph and Denver—who will head in on just 5 Days of Rest—will have to try to establish a decent Rushing game with CJ Anderson and play lights-out Defense or see that 20% chance of the Postseason slip into the “wait until next season” point with a loss. Philadelphia can afford a Loss here while Denver almost has to have a Win, but with QB problems like these and names like those, the Horses will also need some Luck. Logic says the Eagles may beat themselves somehow and keep the NFC East race alive.

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 Parlay Leg 3—Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants

MetLife Stadium (FieldTurf), East Rutherford, NJ, 1 pm ET/10 am PT, FOX

>The Trends here say take the Giants (1-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) with New York NFC a spotless 8-0 ATS the L8 and 3-0 ATS the L3 meetings at Home against QB Jared Goff (2-4 ATS on Road) and the upstart Rams (0-0 SU, 1-2), but that was Then and this is Now brother and this franchise has finally found a Home (Los Angeles), a starting QB (Goff), an impact RB (Todd Gurley II) and may have a decent Head Coach on hand in 1st-year man Sean McVay who has helped guide Los Angeles NFC to this wonderful 5-2 start and current 1st place spot in the NFC West. And this Rams vs. Giants NFC inter-divisional game—the second game in four days at MetLife Stadium, the shared home of the AFC’s Jets and the NFC’s Giants—looks a tad strange on the betting board with the Rams (4-3 ATS) favored by 3 and 3½ right now (Tuesday), but with Eli Manning slowly aging like your couch and WR Odell Beckham injured (Injured-Reserved List, Fibula) and Los Angeles having some pretty decent targets for Goff (1,719 Passing yards, 9 TDs) now in WR Robert Woods (627 Receiving yards), WR Sammy Watkins, WR Cooper Kupp (23 Receptions, 316 Receiving yards, 3 TDs), WR Tavon Austin and TE Tyler Higbee, among others.

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Parlay Leg 4—New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mercedes-Benz Superdome (UBU-Synthetic Turf), New Orleans, Louisiana, 1 pm ET/10 am PT, FOX

>Future NFL Hall of Famer Drew Brees (43-38 ATS vs. NFC South) and the Saints play host to the Buccaneers on Sunday in an NFC South 9 shindig from The Big Easy and a game seemingly way more important to Jameis Winston and visiting Tampa Bay coming in with 4 straight SU Losses and a disappointing 2-5 SU Record overall with New Orleans at 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS) and already 3 games ahead of Tampa Bay in the divisional standings as the calendar flips to November and the colorful little Trick or Treaters are trying to barter M&M’s for Twix. And with Mike Evans and the Bucs 1-5-1 ATS this season games and the Who Dats riding a sparkly 5-game SU/ATS Win Streak, backing the more Confident team at Home who are no doubt motivated by Matt Ryan and the Falcons (4-3 SU) and Cam Newton and the Panthers (5-3 SU) divisional presence.

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 Free NFL 4-Team Parlay Picks: Bills ML / Broncos +7 / Rams -3.5 / Saints -7 Best Line Offered: Heritage
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