Rolling a Lions-Cowboys-Patriots 3-Team Parlay For NFL Week 10

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, November 8, 2017 6:12 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2017 6:12 PM UTC

The Department of Crap and General Displeasure called about last week’s losing parlay and love letters from Offshore sportsbooks directors filled my email InBox, so it’s time to change to the turquoise-blue Oh the Martian slippers and try to shove it up their portholes and show them who’s boss around here. 

You put up the numbers, we pick the teams. As usual. Let’s look to the talented QBs Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott and Tom Brady to try to lead us to a chalky 3-team parlay win against the struggling Browns, Falcons and Broncos, all whom head into NFL Regular Season Week 10 on solid Losing Streaks.

NFL 3-TEAM WEEK 10 PARLAY FOR PROFIT: Lions -11½ -105/Cowboys +3/Patriots -7½ -105

Parlay Leg 1—Cleveland Browns vs Detroit Lions

Ford Field (FieldTurf), Detroit, Michigan, 1 pm ET/10 am PT, CBS

The Sharps have been all over the Lions like worker bees on honey (or the Queen), moving an opening Detroit -9½ number all the way up to as high as 13½ on Tuesday for this Week 10 Regular Season game from the Motor City on Sunday as QB Matthew Stafford  and the Lions will host the worst ATS in the NFL over the L3 seasons, the Cleveland Browns. And with a poor start (0-8), DeShone Kizer at QB and weak showing against the Vikings in London in Week 8, fading the Browns will be an automatic thing from here on out unless the Point Spreads get too far out of whack and the 4-point move here in 2 days of betting hints at future early line moves against WR Duke Johnson Jr. and the Browns.

Rookie DE Myles Garrett (Concussion) may return to the fold for Cleveland which should be well-rested after enjoying a much-needed Bye Week in Week 9 and expect the Browns and 2nd-year Head Coach Hue Jackson to let the young Kizer to try to do his thing against the now .500 Lions who looked very good on Monday Night Football, dominating the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers (4-4 SU) in a must-win situation and ATS cover in Green Bay as Stafford went off for Detroit (Betting #266) in a result that leveled the two teams.

The Trends show the Lions are 4-2 ATS the L6 against Cleveland (5-1 SU) with 5 of those 6 meetings going Over the Total but these two haven’t played since 2013 when Detroit won 31-17 at Cleveland, covering ATS as small 2-point Road Favorites. Here, expect the Lions to try to pound RB Ameer Abdullah and look for the dependable Golden Tate and Marvin Jones downfield against a Browns side that actually looks better this season giving the Eyeball Test but which still statistically and ATS-wise been as fade-worthy as past seasons. There’s a reason this may be Sharp early money. Keep it simple.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Lions 31 Browns 17PARLAY LEG 1 PICK: Lions -11½ -105 Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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 Parlay Leg 2—Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

Mercedes-Benz Stadium (FieldTurf), Atlanta, Georgia, 4:25 pm ET/1:25 pm PT, FOX

Possibly no Ezekiel Elliott (Suspension) for the Cowboys here, thus the 3-point spread with hosts Atlanta favored here in their beautiful new building, but there are other personnel issues heading into this game for both teams, with the Falcons WR Julio Jones (Leg) beat up but listed as Probable and RB Devonta Freeman also listed as Probable while Dallas may be without the services of star WR Dez Bryant (Leg) who is currently listed as Questionable while WR Terrance Williams (Ankle) continues to nurse his Injury and is listed as Questionable. And both Kickers, the Falcons Matt Bryant (Leg, Questionable) and the Cowboys (Betting #269) Dan Bailey (Groin, Out Indefinitely) have issues. With Elliott possibly out and the Dallas Rushing attack expected to be that less effective with the big, speedy Ohio State graduate maybe out, expect both Dallas WRs to play along with Old Man River Jones and Freeman for Atlanta.

This NFC collision between the Cowboys (5-3 SU/ATS) and Falcons (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) on Sunday afternoon has huge implications in the Conference Postseason race and will see QB Dak Prescott (8-4 ATS on Road) and the visiting Cowboys come in on 3-game SU/ATS Win Streaks while the Dirty Birds have L5 straight ATS and 4-5 SU and will rightfully consider this one a “must-win” situation, especially is Elliott is shelved. QB Matt Ryan and the Falcons won one game SU in the month of October and none ATS. Expect a strong effort from a nervous Falcons side who start a string of 4 Home games in 5 weeks, though tough strength of opponents.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Cowboys 30 Falcons 27PARLAY LEG 2 PICK: Cowboys +3 -110Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Parlay Leg 3—New England Patriots at Denver Broncos

Sports Authority Field (Desso Grassmaster), Denver, 8:30 pm ET/5:30 pm PT, NBC

The last game on the Sunday menu and what seemed like a great prime time matchup before the 2017 Regular Season started now looks less appealing, as the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) travel a pumpkin-smashing 1,979 miles and 2 Times Zones west (EST to MST) to face the Broncos (6-1 ATS L7 Week 10), a team who had two great Quarterbacks (John Elway, Peyton Manning) and who is now struggling to find a starter at the crucial NFL position, with Brock Osweiler (yes) actually back in the Rocky Mountains as Northwestern product Trevor Siemian seemed to fail again when given the chance. With a 1st-year Head Coach (Vance Joseph) and questions at QB, it’s no wonder star LB Von Miller and the Broncos (3-5 SUI, 2-5-1) got smacked around by the upstart Eagles in Week 9, losing 51-23 in Philadelphia (PHIL -7, 41) in an uncharacteristic lapse on Defense to sadly fall to 3-5 and wonder where it all went wrong.

The series trends reveal the New England are 3-1 ATS on the Road this year and the Patriots have really picked it up on Defense after a tough start and head in on a 4-game SU Win Streak, holding opponents to 14, 17, 7 and 13 and a stingy average of 12.75 ppg. The series Trends here favor the Broncos who are 13-10 ATS and SU vs. the Patriots since 1992, but those Denver squads had Quarterbacks and Hope. And Quarterbacks and Hope matter, like a good pair of sensible shoes and maximum counter space matter.

The Broncos head in on a nasty 4-game SU/ATS Losing Streak and scored just 10, 0, 19 and 23 points in those Losses and have averaged just 14.0 ppg over their L6 games. The Altitude may suck for Head Coach Bill Belichick (178-128-8 ATS) and New England on Sunday Night Football, but at least they come in with Momentum and well-rested off of their Bye Week in Week 9. The Broncos are 13-10 ATS at Home on Sunday nights and 2-1 ATS in the rare Role of Home Dogs on Sunday nights. Another chalky parlay with a pick in each time slot.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Patriots 25 Broncos 13PARLAY LEG 3 PICK: Patriots -7½Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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