Redskins vs. Texans New Head Coaches to Affect Week 1 NFL Picks

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 2, 2014 3:12 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 2, 2014 3:12 PM GMT

After combining for just five wins last season, the Texans and Redskins are both eager to have more successful years in 2014-15. A win in Week 1 could do great things for confidence, but which team is going to get our backing for our NFL picks?

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There hasn't been much movement, but most books have a line of at least three points on the board now. Earlier in the week, some spreads were at 2.5, so it should be noted that a key threshold has been passed.

This is one of the trickier games to cap, as both teams have new head coaches.

That being said, we're on the underdogs in this situation. We may as well take the points, as we feel better about backing Robert Griffin III, Alfred Morris, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson than we do Ryan Fitzpatrick, Arian Foster and Andre Johnson. Sure, it's a team game, but we think Washington's offense has more potential right now.

Let's add Washington as dogs to our collection of NFL picks.
Free NFL Pick: Redskins +3

 

Home-field advantage roars its head again, as Houston enters as the NFL odds favorites for Week 1.

The Texans are favored by either 2.5 or three points, depending on which sportsbook you use. This, my friends, is why it's crucial to utilize multiple books in order to get the best possible number out there. It's the little things that make a world of difference in handicapping.

We'll have a number of playmakers on the field on Sunday, so the O/U of 45.6 makes sense. Currently the action is coming in evenly on both the 'Over' and 'Under'.

Houston in 2013-14 Regular Season: 2-14 SU, 4-12 ATS, -9.5 margin of victory

Washington in 2013-14 Regular Season: 3-13 SU, 5-11 ATS, -9.0 margin of victory

It's obviously unlikely that Houston will only win two games again this season.

Put it this way: the Texans gave up on Wade Phillips last year. They entered as a legitimate Super Bowl contender, but after a great start, they fizzled out completely and ended with the league's worst record.

There's a new coach (Bill O'Brien) in town now, and Houston will also have a new quarterback in charge. Right now it's Ryan Fitzpatrick, though that's certainly a fluid situation that could change going forward. There are questions about Arian Foster's healthy, and it remains to be seen if Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins can be used effectively with Fitzpatrick throwing to them.

However, Houston's defense features a dynamic duo of J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, and that's going to be difficult for opposing offensive lines to contend with. Robert Griffin III is going to be busy in Week 1.

Griffin III has Alfred Morris in the backfield and Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson and Jordan Reed as his primary targets. We look for Washington to fare much better offensively after the regime change, but it still may take time for the offense to truly click.

In short, this matchup between Houston and Washington is one of the trickiest to cap. We need to get a better read of these two teams before recommending anything, as each has a new head coach that will be switching things up. It doesn't help that both franchises were awful in 2013-14.

Either way, come back and see us later in the week to see where we're pinning our focus.

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