Redskins vs. Panthers NFL Picks: Carolina Will Move to 10-0

Joe Gavazzi

Saturday, November 21, 2015 12:24 AM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015 12:24 AM UTC

We analyze Sunday's game between the surging Washington Redskins and the unbeaten Carolina Panthers to offer our Crusher of the Week NFL pick.

Washington Redskins vs. Carolina Panthers (-7) 1:00 EST
The Washington Redskins (4-5 SU ATS) visit the Carolina Panthers (9-0 SU, 7-3 ATS) for this 1 o’clock eastern kick. The Redskins were revitalized last week against the NFL’s worst defense, with a 47-14 pasting of the New Orleans Saints, leading to the firing of New Orleans’ DC Ryan. The Carolina Panthers continued their workman like ways with a (27-10) win over the Tennessee Titans, outrushing the home dog 119-64, and profiting from a +2 net turnover margin. But favorite winners were few and far between last week on a card that saw underdogs go 11-3 ATS, with Pittsburgh the only other favored point spread winner besides these two. Look for the favorites to bounce this week, beginning with these Carolina Panthers.


Washington Redskins
In the first three weeks of the season, the Washington Redskins were dominating the rushing stats. Last week, they trampled the Saints overland 225-158. But in the four games in between, the Redskins were outrushed 748-172, getting obliterated at the line of scrimmage. Much of that was linked to games on the road. In fact, as traveler this year the Redskins are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS, being outscored 30-13 and outgained by an average of 429-285. Even though they are 3-4 ATS as underdog this year, their long term record as short is 10-20 ATS. Their rush defense is now allowing an NFL second worst 135/5.0. That’s a bad MO to bring to Charlotte.


Carolina Panthers
A look at the Carolina numbers shows you they are deserving of the 9-0 SU mark, which has extended their streak to 13 consecutive regular season games, and a 10-3 ATS mark in that time. The Panthers run the ball an average of 34 times a game (more than any team in the league) for an average of 140 RYPG (only Buffalo and Minnesota run for more). With a defense allowing just 19 PPG and 5.0 YP play (only Denver is lower), the Panthers are winning the old fashioned way…with a running game and defense. The offense has scored 27 or more points in 7 consecutive games, and the defense has more INTs (14) than TDs (11) allowed. Though there is the potential for complacency with a 3 game division lead, the 9-0 SU undefeated record should provide ample motivation. The Panthers are a dominant 14-7 ATS as home chalk recently, and have a most interesting record of 11-0 ATS in home games sandwiched between road performances.

I invite you to put the NFL odds in your favor and join me for my NFL pick on the Carolina Panthers as the Crusher of the week as they steamroll the Redskins’ rushing defense into submission.

NFL Picks: Panthers -7 at bet365 

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