Redskins vs. Cowboys: Betting Odds, Preview & NFL Pick for MNF

Kevin Stott

Thursday, October 23, 2014 8:00 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 23, 2014 8:00 PM GMT

Tony Romo and the Cowboys welcome the Redskins to AT&T Stadium in Arlington for this NFC East clash where the hosts are almost double-digit favorites. Is Washington worth a bet getting so many points?

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds Overview
This classic old NFC East rivalry—the Washington Redskins (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) versus the Dallas Cowboys (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)—seems to have a little more shine put back on it and is worthy of a Monday Night Football spot with the Cowboys suddenly looking like legitimate contenders. Although oddsmakers have made host Dallas big 9-point Favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) here at AT&T Stadium in Arlington—the Total Points is set at 50½—the visiting Redskins are in a no-lose situation with hopes of a decent season pretty much done unless they can avoid a loss here and a 2-6 start...a bad spot for Washington the way the Cowboys have improved so far this 2015 NFL season. The moneyline (Winner) NFL odds here sees the Cowboys as prohibitive -550 Favorites (Bwin) with Washington priced as +400 Underdogs. The Redskins Team Total Points is 20 (Paddy Power) while the Cowboys Team Total Points is at 30 (Stan James).

 

Washington Redskins
Even though this team looks absolutely miserable in paper with its 2-5 SU record and has lost its backers money so far this season (2-5 ATS), it’s hard not to see some betting beauty in some of the numbers and recent relevant trends which support the Road Underdog in this spot—one number being the aforementioned 9-point spread Washington is getting here in sorta-Big D. That’s a lotta meatballs Tony. The Redskins have some very decent skill position players in WRs De Sean Jackson (26 receptions, 528 yards, 3 TDs, 20.3 ypc) and Pierre Garçon (35 receptions, 396 yards, 3 TDs, 11.3 yps) and RB Alfred Morris (115 rushes, 440 yards, 3 TDs), and with QB Kirk Cousins (126/204, 1,1710 yards, 10 TDs) filling in admirably for the injured Robert Griffin III, this team should be a little better than it’s 2-5 record.

Washington (2-7 L9 Road, 2-7 ATS L9 Road) is also solid in its NFL Rankings in Passing (#4), Rushing (#21), Against the Pass (#8) and Against the Rush (#12), so, Dallas will have to work hard to get the yardage against the Redskins in this game. But the Cowboys have proven to they can ram the ball down anyone’s throats with now easily the best and now most dominant offensive line in the league.

Redskins CB Tracy  Porter (hamstring) and LBs Perry Riley (knee) and Brian Orakpo (pectoral) were listed as Questionable on Monday while Washington and first-year head coach continue Jay Gruden to play with normal starting QB Griffin III (anke) who is Out Indefinitely.

 

Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett (30-32-1 ATS) and long-time QB Tony Romo (25-35 ATS Home, 35-46-1 ATS Favorite) seem to have finally gotten into that Funky Blue and Silver Groove it’s been waiting to since the two joined forces years back. And both Garrett and Romo can thank the Dallas offensive line and emerging star RB Demarco Murray (187 rushes, 913 yards, 7 TDs, 4.9 ypc) for this recent success and feeling of comfort and warm fuzzies. But this is the NFL and there are snakes hidden in the bushes so the Cowboys best have their cowboy boots on for the rest of the season as everyone will be giving Dallas its best game now, starting with this Redskins team, which, as mentioned, has absolutely nothing to lose here.

Dallas, which has actually only been favored three times this season heading into this game, is getting a great season from oft-maligned QB Romo (148/214, 1,789 yards, 14 TDs) with his buddy TE Jason Witten and WRs Dez Bryant (45 receptions, 590 receiving yards, 13.1 ypc) and Terrance Williams (19 receptions, 338 yards, 6 TDs, 17.8 ypc) making the passing game (#14) a nice balance to the NFL’s #1 Rushing attack, led by the remarkable Murray. But Dallas’s defense—#12 against the Pass, #16 against the Rush—still has some work to do if this team is to get by the Seahawks or 49ers or Cardinals and or Packers in the NFC and make it to the Super Bowl. The team’s dominance rushing the ball has created a very pleasant reality where the Cowboys can control the clock and wear down opponent’s defenses and not expect the defense to have to help win games. And that will probably be the case here as the Redskins DL and LBs will really have to play over their proverbial heads to stop Murray and the Dallas OL from having another dominating performance. Cowboys offensive lineman are simply playing at an elite level right now and turning many heads for those that notice the first point of contact on Murray—and other Dallas RBs—is often several yards past the line of scrimmage.

On the injury front, DTs Amobi Okoye (illness) and Davon Coleman (calf) DE Jack Crawford (calf) and LB Bruce Carter (quadricep) were all listed as Questionable on Monday.

 

Best Betting Approaches
The trends point strongly toward taking Washington here. The Cowboys 6-14 are ATS as Home Favorites on Monday Night Football while the Redskins are 6-9 ATS as Road Underdogs but its the Redskins impressive 7-1 ATS L8 and 6-1 ATS L7 here in Big D as well as Dallas’s 8-15 ATS L23 at Home mark that makes taking the visitors and the 9 points and turning your head when Murray is rushing the ball) so enticing. Dallas should definitely win (Redskins are 2-13 SU L15), but Washington certainly won’t make it easy. The Cowboys have won 6 straight games (5-1 ATS) since losing to San Francisco in the season opener here in Arlington, but expect Dallas to be a little beat up and a little tired after games at the Super Bowl champions Seahawks and against the New York Giants last Sunday. Not a strong recommendation, but a seemingly logical one if  Cousins can have a halfway decent game and put 24 or so points on the scoreboard and the Redskins defense can continue to impress. One key for Washington will trying to keep it close early on and be in the game heading into the locker room at halftime. If they can do that, this large point spread will look even larger in the fourth quarter.


NFL Pick: Redskins +10 at 5Dimes

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