Redskins Prop NFL Picks for Thursday Night Football vs. Giants

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, September 24, 2015 6:08 PM GMT

Good NFL coaches adjust to the players they have & don't try to force a system upon them. So far, Jay Gruden has done that very well. Let's look at some Redskins player props odds for tonight's game.

Odds From-   5Dimes | BetOnline | Bookmaker | Bovada | Heritage | GTbets | WagerWeb | SportsBetting | BetDSI

Redskins Score 1st +125 (best line at 5Dimes)
Giants Score 1st -130 (best line at BetOnline)
3 straight scores -195 (best line at 5Dimes)
No 3 straight scores +165 (best line at BetOnline)
Fumble before INT +125 (best line at Heritage)
INT before Fumble -165 (best line at Heritage)
1st Score TD -140  (best line at Bovada)
FG or Safety +135  (best line at Bookmaker)

 

Gruden opened the season as the favorite on NFL picks to be the first coach fired this season and that made sense considering how dysfunctional Washington was last year and the fact Gruden called out his one-time franchise quarterback, Robert Griffin III. But Washington played Miami very tough in a season-opening 17-10 loss and then handled a solid St. Louis team 24-20 last week; the Rams had been coming off a big home win over Seattle so maybe that was a trap game for them. Gruden is now +800 on NFL odds to be the first coach fired.

But Gruden has turned Washington into an old-school ground and pound team as the Redskins lead the NFL in rushing and are No. 2 in time of possession at 37:49 per game. And to think, Gruden was hired from Cincinnati because of his supposed acumen with quarterbacks. But he's not asking Kirk Cousins to do much and relying on the tailback tandem of Matt Jones and Alfred Morris and his offensive line thus far. But Washington also has played its first two games at home so we will see how that offense fares on the road. 

 

Kirk Cousins 'Over/Under' 21.5 Completions, 243.5 Passing Yards, 1.5 TDs

Will Cousins Throw An Interception? Yes -185, No +150
The former backup Cousins entered this season as a turnover-machine when he got into the game. For example, in a Thursday night start in Week 4 last year against the Giants, Cousins was 19-for-33 with four interceptions and a lost fumble. This year he has faced two good defenses in the Dolphins and Rams. He was just OK vs. Miami, going 21-for-31 for 196 yards with a touchdown and pick. Cousins was better against St. Louis, completing 23-for-27 for 203  yards, one TD and no picks. Gruden would take those numbers every time even though Cousins is averaging just 6.88 yards per attempt. The offensive line allowed two sacks vs. the Rams, but no hits and just five hurries, and those two sacks were more coverage sacks. Cousins says he's a much more confident player because he learned lessons from that Thursday night disaster in 2014 vs. New York. Cousins will be facing a shaky Giants secondary this time. They are starting a rookie safety in Landon Collins, who has been inconsistent, and likely will be without cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie due to a concussion. New York is last in the NFL in passing yards allowed at 702. The Giants have faced two very good QBs in Matt Ryan and Tony Romo.

NFL Free Picks: 'Over' completions, 'Under' yards and TDs. Cousins will throw a pick.

 

Alfred Morris O/U 57.5 Rushing Yards

Matt Jones O/U 50.5 Rushing Yards
When you think of the NFL's best tandem of running backs, you probably go to Philadelphia with DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews, although they have been terrible this season. But the best duo thus far in 2015 has probably been Morris and the rookie Jones. As noted above, the Redskins lead the NFL in 343 rushing yards and 74 attempts (4.6 yards per attempt). Morris carried 25 times for 121 yards in Week 1 against the Dolphins and 18 times for 59 yards vs. the Rams. Jones, a third-round pick out of Florida and no doubt a popular fantasy football pickup this week, had only six carries for 28 yards vs. the Dolphins but 19 carries for 123 yards and two scores against the Rams. Washington is going to three tight ends more often to boost the running game. Sunday against the Rams, the Redskins used a three-tight-end set 15 times. The Redskins averaged 5.58 yards on 12 carries out of that set. The Redskins are fourth in the NFL in yards gained before contact (3.36) because of strong blocking. The Giants are No. 3 against the rush, allowing 68.0 yards per game and only 3.0 yards per attempt. But they also faced two teams in Atlanta and Dallas that are more pass-oriented and don't have a true featured back.

NFL Free Picks: 'Over' for Morris, who has  had past success  vs. the Giants, and 'Under' for Jones. 

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