The Redskins need to have a seamless transition with new quarterback Alex Smith under center to make a run at the NFC East crown. A tough non-divisional schedule featuring the Packers, Saints, Falcons, and Jags offers little reprieve. Here’s look at all the dates, complete with some betting spots to consider.
Below you will find the Redskins’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.
2017 SU Record: 7-9 (-2.9 avg. margin)
2017 ATS Record: 7-9 (-1.7 avg. margin)
2017 Average Line: 1.2
2017 Win Total: 7.5 (+120)
2018 Strength of Schedule: 14th, opponents were 129-127 (.504)Three Games to Back ATS
@Cardinals, Week1; @Giants, Week 8
Over the last two years, the Redskins are 7-2 SU and ATS against teams coming off a season with a -3.0 or less average margin of victory. They’ve covered all five on the road, the defense holding the home team under their projected team total in all but one. The Cardinals own a -4.1 and Giants a -8.9 point differential from 2017. Both teams have new coaches and a tough season ahead.
@Cowboys, Week 12
As noted later in the article, the Cowboys defense will likely give the Redskins many problems. Nevertheless, this game presents a situation where Dallas rolls over consistently. Check out our preview of the Cowboys' schedule to see head coach Jason Garrett’s horrid betting record on short rest. There will be oodles of value with Washington on this Thanksgiving Day matchup, particularly if it has a poor first half of the season.
Three Games to Fade ATS
Cowboys, Week 7; Falcons, Week 9; @Eagles, Week 13
It’s a mystery how Jay Gruden’s offense will perform under quarterback Alex Smith, acquired in trade from Kansas City to replace Kirk Cousins. On the plus side, Washington’s attack is at its best controlling possession, and the former Chiefs signal caller is adept at game management. The Chiefs and Redskins share many coaching similarities. But the fact remains, Washington went 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS when Cousins sat out. These games also all occurred in Gruden’s first year in charge, so one can argue his pieces were not fully in place and personnel still learning. Still, similar growing pains are likely.
The Redskins really bombed against tough defenses in Cousins’ absence. They lost all four games by double digits against units surrendering less than 22.0 points per game the previous season. This included the Texans, Buccaneers, Rams and Giants. Washington scored 6, 7, 0 and 13 points. Whatever struggles ensue in the transition this year will occur in games against top 10 scoring Ds from 2017. Circle these games as potential fade material.
Trap Game Potential
@Titans, Week 16
There is no telling where this line ends up so late in the season, but do know Gruden is 1-6 SU and ATS on the road against AFC foes. Washington is failing to cover a 7.1 average line by 4.9 points per game. The offense has put up more than 20 points once.