Week 3 in NFL betting is supposed to be the dress rehearsal for the real deal. So how did the field perform and what are the takeaways for NFL bettors? Here are some of our key observations for your consideration.
Preseason Betting Results
Going into week 3 the betting trends read 18-13-1 ATS for home teams, an identical 16-16-1 ATS split for the favourites and underdogs and a 19-14 edge for the ‘under’ in total betting. Following the third week’s highly anticipated dress rehearsal, which is widely held as the last opportunity for starters to get decent playing time and for those vying for spots on rosters to show coaches what their potential contributions might be, the overall trends read 25-22-1 ATS for home teams (up by 7-9 ATS in week 3), 23-25-1 ATS for the favourites and underdogs, and a 30-19 edge for the under (up by 11-5 in week 3).
Major Talking Points of Week 3
1. Saints are Legitimate Super Bowl Contenders
By and large, the main talking point following the third week of NFL Preseason betting is how good the Saints look. Travelling to Indianapolis Colts on Saturday the Saints were delicately placed on a tight betting line as the slight -105 underdogs to the Colts at -115 (and the +1-point underdogs on the spread). Clearly, a close affair was expected between last season’s playoff teams. Tale told the Saints proved their worth in the convincing 23-17 victory, in which Drew Brees went 9-of-15 for 128 yards and two touchdowns. Most importantly, the Saints underlined their value as Super Bowl contenders.
2. St. Louis Lose Sam Bradford
Arguably the most distressing development was Sam Bradford’s injury in St. Louis’ 33-14 victory over the Cleveland Browns. The highly promising quarterback suffered a torn ACL which is a season-ending injury. Now the question for the Rams is whether veteran Shaun Hill can rise to the occasion. NFL betting reactions isn’t promising as the Rams, already no-hopers in a tough NFC West division, drift further out to +2000 odds to clinch top spot.
3. Carolina Panthers Look Doubtful
Cam Newton suffered a fractured rib as the Panthers go down 30-7 to the Patriots on Saturday. While Newton’s latest injury bout is a concern and could see him miss Carolina’s season opener, the glaring problems on offense aren’t going to heal in time. During the offseason, the Panthers’ offense was severely depleted, a gamble that isn’t paying dividends. So far in preseason, the Panthers’ first team offense has scored zero points with Newton at centre.
RGIII Continues to Struggle
RGIII deposited another questionable performance in a 23-17 defeat to the Baltimore Ravens, going 5-of-8 for20 yards and ZERO touchdowns and 1 interception. Many are calling for the hook on RGIII, suggesting backup Kirk Cousins should get a chance.
Will the Real 49ers Please Stand Up?
A nationwide search for the 49ers offense has been called after being reported missing for three weeks in the preseason. Niners fans are at their wits end with a first-team offense that has produced just two field goals in three weeks and stuttered through another unconvincing performance despite winning 21-7 on Sunday over the Chargers. As the demand for answers grows in proportion to the many questions being raised, the mysterious disappearance could prove to be one of the major talking points of the upcoming NFL season.