Ravens/Colts QBs on Fire: Bet 'Over' for NFL Pick

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, October 1, 2014 1:56 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 1, 2014 1:56 PM GMT

The Colts are on a roll now, and they'll stay at home in Week 5 against another hot team in the Ravens. Is there any NFL betting value out there to exploit? And what kind of sports picks are we liking the look of for Sunday's game?

The Colts are on a roll now, and they'll stay at home in Week 5 against the Ravens. Is there any NFL betting value out there to exploit? And what kind of sports picks are we liking the look of for Sunday's game?

At the moment, Indianapolis is favored by either 3 or 3.5 points, and you can continue to track the NFL odds for yourself at our live lines site.

If you're wanting to make a total play, you can find the number at 48 right now. The OVER has cashed in all four of the Colts' games so far, but we've seen an even 2-2 split for the matchups involving Baltimore.

Indianapolis in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, +10.2 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Ahmad Bradshaw (probable), Robert Mathis (out), LaRon Landry (out), Jerrell Freeman (questionable), Arthur Jones (questionable), Colt Anderson (questionable)

Baltimore in 2014-15 Regular Season: 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS, +10.8 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Bernard Pierce (probable), Lardarius Webb (questionable), Timmy Jernigan (questionable)

As many expected, the Colts strolled to another win (their second straight) last weekend, as they crushed the Titans 41-17 at home to easily cover the NFL betting lines.

Andrew Luck threw for 393 yards and four touchdowns (with one interception) and finished with a stellar 96.7 QBR. Reggie Wayne had a great day, catching seven passes for 119 yards and a score, while T.Y. Hilton went for six catches and 105 yards. Trent Richardson had a good game as well, totaling 99 overall yards from scrimmage and one touchdown.

Indianapolis wasn't tested too much by Tennessee's offense, which was led by backup quarterback Charlie Whitehurst. The Titans didn't allow any Titan to rush for over 40 yards and were able to keep the likes of Kendall Wright, Nate Washington and Justin Hunter in check too.

As for the Ravens, they were equally as dominant as Indianapolis, winning 38-10 at home over the Panthers. Coming in, Baltimore was a small favorite, so it was an easy cover for those that backed the hosts.

In the first meeting against his former team, Steve Smith Sr. went off for seven catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns. He linked up amazingly with Joe Flacco, who ended up with 327 passing yards and three touchdown throws. In the run game, Justin Forsett ran 14 times for 66 yards and a score and added three catches for 31 yards, and Lorenzo Taliaferro chipped in with 58 yards and a touchdown himself. It was dominance all the way around for Baltimore, who are now 3-1 on the season.

 

Suarez Says:
Both teams come in on fire, making it tough for us to pick out a good ATS pick.

These two offenses are clicking in a big way, so instead we're going to pivot towards a play on the total. We like the look of the “over”, as Luck and Flacco have been tearing it up recently and they've got no shortage of talented receivers to back them up. We'll have names like Wayne, Hilton, Smith Sr. and Smith out there, so we expect a lot of yardage to be piled up. It seems the two quarterbacks have had license to let loose with their arms, so there could be a lot of fireworks.

When you add in the fact neither of these defenses have impressed all that much, we think the “over” is the way to go for our Week 5 NFL picks. Be on the lookout for a lot of points in the dome this Sunday. 

NFL Pick: OVER at 5Dimes

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