Baltimore needs to take advantage of a friendly home schedule if they hope to end their postseason drought. Here are some betting spots to circle on your game calendar.
The Ravens' immediate goal this season is returning to the playoffs after a three-year absence. Winning their seemingly winnable home games would be a good first step.
Below you will find the Ravens’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.
2017 SU Record: 9-7 (5.8 avg. margin)
2017 ATS Record: 9-7 (3.3 avg. margin)
2017 Average Line: -2.4
2017 Win Total: 8.5 (+130)
2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 8.5 (+120)
2018 Strength of Schedule: 21st, opponents were 125-131 (.488)
Three Games to Back ATS
Bills, Week 1
Head coach John Harbaugh, entering his 10th season in charge of the Ravens, has never lost as home chalk against an AFC East opponent. Baltimore is a 3.5-point favorite on the NFL odds board for their season opener hosting the Bills. Harbaugh is a perfect 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS, annihilating a -4.9 average line by 11.4 points per game. The Ravens have won five by 16 points or more.
@Browns, Week 5; Browns, Week 17
Quarterback Joe Flacco owns the Browns. He is 17-2 SU and 12-7 ATS as a starter. Four of the failed covers occurred in six games with a double-digit spread. Baltimore is 10-3 ATS in all others, covering a -4.5 line by 4.7 points per game. Bettors will likely see a single-digit line at Cleveland in Week 5, and maybe a second time in the regular-season finale depending on how the season shakes out for both teams.
Three Games to Fade ATS
@Steelers, Week 3; @Panthers, Week 8
Going back to 2010, the Ravens are 3-11 SU and ATS in away games in the first half of the season against opponents that own a positive point differential from the previous year. This is the case at Pittsburgh (5.6) and Carolina (1.8). The offense fails to fire, putting up just 19.1 points per game. Flacco has been under center in each.
@Falcons, Week 13; @Chargers, Week 16
Good pass-rushing defenses have always bothered Flacco, especially in hostile territory. He is just 4-15 SU and 6-12-1 ATS in his career on the road against a unit that tallied greater than 2.2 sacks per game the previous season while allowing less than 20.2 points. The Ravens come up 3.8 points shy of a 3.7 average line under these conditions. And as their schedule would have it, we've included a fourth potential fade spot.
Trap Game Potential
Bengals, Week 11
Harbaugh is 2-9-1 ATS all-time in the second half of the season laying points to divisional opponents at home. This will likely be the case when the Bengals come to town in Week 11. Low-scoring results have kept Baltimore from coming close to besting the number consistently. All but two finals have finished within one score. The final points tally averages 36.0 points. Expect another in-the-trenches, tight AFC North battle in this matchup.