Top Rams vs. Buccaneers Prop Picks for NFL Divisional Round

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Los Angeles Rams in Sunday's NFC Divisional Round game. We break down the top Rams-Buccaneers prop pick options.

We dominated on our prop picks of last week's NFC wild-card game between the San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys, hitting on all four picks. Elijah Mitchell went Over 90.5 rushing and receiving yards, Jimmy Garoppolo went Under 1.5 TD passes and Over 0.5 interceptions, and Dak Prescott's longest completion was Over 37.5 yards - we got a bit lucky on Prescott as his longest connection was 38 yards in the Cowboys' loss.

We'll try to keep rolling for Sunday's Rams-Bucs game, with the winner either going to Green Bay for the NFC title game or hosting San Francisco.

Here are my top NFL prop picks for Sunday's Divisional Round matchup between the Rams and Buccaneers (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Top Rams vs. Buccaneers Prop Picks

Tyler Johnson Over 31.5 receiving yards (-115) ???Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 interceptions (-135) ????Aaron Donald Over 3.5 tackles & assists (-185) ????

SEE ALSO: Rams vs. Buccaneers Divisional Round Picks

Rams vs. Buccaneers Prop Predictions

Johnson Over 31.5 receiving yards (-115)

Of course, Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady is without injured wideout Chris Godwin for the season and Antonio Brown hopefully forever. TB12 is so good that he really hasn't missed those guys yet as he has largely been depending on Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski - two future Hall of Famers. And, yes, Evans is going to Canton someday as he set an NFL record this season by reaching 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first eight years.

Brady and Tampa Bay dominated the overmatched Philadelphia Eagles last weekend with Evans catching nine balls for 117 yards and a touchdown. However, Philadelphia doesn't have a true shutdown cornerback like the Rams do in All-Pro Jalen Ramsey.

Thus, I'm assuming that Rams defensive coordinator Raheem Morris - a former Bucs head coach - will stick Ramsey on Evans to take him out of the game for the most part. When the Bucs lost 34-24 at the Rams in Week 3, Evans did have a big game with eight catches for 106 yards, but Godwin was around then so Ramsey wasn't on Evans all the time. Including the 2020 regular-season matchup. Ramsey has held Evans to just five catches for 54 yards in the past two meetings.

I expect Johnson to be the primary beneficiary of Ramsey shadowing Evans, especially with wideout Cyril Grayson looking doubtful to play with a hamstring injury. Johnson did have 63 yards in that Week 3 game.

Stafford Over 0.5 interceptions (-135)

As noted above, we won on Over 0.5 interceptions last week on the Niners' Garoppolo, and I'd be shocked if Rams QB Matthew Stafford doesn't throw at least one because he's a gunslinger and coach Sean McVay is going to give him some downfield shots. Sometimes a long interception serves the same purpose as a punt if it's third-and-long, and, frankly, I usually go Over on interception props like this simply in case of a Hail Mary at the end of either half that could be picked off.

Stafford had a fine season in tying a franchise record with 41 TD passes, but he was also picked off an NFL-high 17 times, including at least one in each of his final four regular-season games.

The former No. 1 overall pick didn't throw an interception last week, but that's because he only attempted 17 passes with the Rams dominating and running the ball well. Tampa Bay is one of the NFL's top defenses against the run, so Stafford may double those passing attempts Sunday.

Donald Over 3.5 tackles & assists (-185)

Being honest, I wanted to play a Leonard Fournette or Cam Akers rushing prop, but the various books don't have rushing props up as of this writing because Fournette is no sure thing to play - I guarantee you he will.

So, we will go with the three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Donald. Defensive tackles generally don't get a lot of tackles or assists because they primarily plug holes to stop the run, but Donald isn't your typical defensive tackle. He could feast Sunday on a Bucs offensive line that could be without starting center Ryan Jensen and All-Pro right tackle Tristan Wirfs.

While I think Jensen plays, Wirfs could barely move the few plays he was in there against the Eagles with his ankle injury and Donald would eat him for lunch. His backup is journeyman Josh Wells, who himself is on the injury report with a quad injury. The Eagles overwhelmed Wells and Brady was sacked four times. While Donald was quiet last week, there really was no sense of urgency with the Rams dominating. In his final 10 regular-season games, Donald had at least four tackles and assists in each.

SEE ALSO: All picks and odds. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Rams-Buccaneers prop picks made 1/20/2022 at 7:55 p.m. ET.