The Rams are all-in to make a Super Bowl run, beefing up the defense by signing Marcus Peters, Aqib Talib, and Ndamukong Suh in the offseason. A tough, tricky 2018 schedule could trip up aspirations.
Los Angeles sees an opportunity and doesn't want to waste it. Could this be the year they achieve the ultimate goal?
Below you will find the Rams’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.
2017 SU Record: 11-5 (9.3 avg. margin)
2017 ATS Record: 9-7 (7.3 avg. margin)
2017 Average Line: -2.0
2017 Win Total: 6 (+140)
2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 9.5 (+105)
2018 Strength of Schedule: T-5, 134-122 (.523)
Three Games to Back ATS
Eagles, Week 15
Look for the Rams to avenge a 43-35 defeat to Philly last season. The Eagles are just 1-4 SU and ATS behind head coach Doug Pederson in true road tests against opponents with a point differential higher than 3.65 from the previous season. The high-flying offense has scored fewer than 20 points in each loss. With the Rams' defense improved, and revenge added motivation, wager on L.A. and the points
Cardinals, Week 2
The Cardinals are a complete enigma. They will assuredly need half a season to work out the kinks in a new defensive scheme, with a new head coach, and with Sam Bradford under center. This matchup is almost criminal at this point in the year; first home game for the Rams with an optimistic fan base to boot. This will get ugly very fast. Eat the chalk no matter how heavy.
@Broncos, Week 6
The Rams revitalized their running game last season, averaging 4.4 yards per rushing attempt. This ranked seventh-most efficient in the league. The effective attack is the foundation for everything in head coach Sean McVay’s offense, primarily setting up the play-action pass. Expect it to feature in the top 10 again this season. This sets up badly for the Broncos. They went 0-7 SU and ATS against efficient run teams averaging better than 4.28 yards per carry in 2017. The results were beyond embarrassing. Denver loses by 16.3 points per game, despite kicking off just 0.4-point underdogs.
Three Games to Fade ATS
Chargers, Week 3; @Saints, Week 5; @Lions, Week 13
The Rams struggle most against teams that protect the ball well, particularly through the air. With Jared Goff under center, they are 3-8 SU and 1-10 ATS versus teams that tossed fewer than 0.75 interceptions per game the prior season. This includes a 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS mark in 2017. L.A. is coming up 6.6 points shy of a 2.2 average line in this situation.
The problem is the Rams have issues getting opposing offenses off the field without the aid of turnovers. L.A. generates just 0.9 takeaways in this spot — just six altogether through the air. Opponents are putting up 27.6 points per game. The Rams have nine games scheduled against teams that tossed fewer than 0.75 picks per contest last season: Chargers, Vikings, Seahawks twice, Saints, Chiefs, Lions, Bears, and Eagles. It’s best to bet the ones that can hang a lot of points as well. These include the Lions, Saints, and Chargers. We’ll pass on the revenge game against Philly.
Trap Game Potential
Packers, Week 8
The Rams are one of six teams to play three straight road games. They catch Green Bay and a healthy Aaron Rodgers passing attack for the return trip. No thanks.