Question Marks Cloud Titans vs. Chiefs NFL Odds

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 2, 2014 4:53 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 2, 2014 4:53 PM GMT

The Chiefs were one of the biggest surprises in 2013-14, earning a playoff berth with their 11-5 overall record. They'll be hoping to kick off the new season with a win over the visiting Titans in Week 1, with the NFL odds showing the home team favored.

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This game has featured some of the biggest line movement of the entire Week 1 slate.

When the odds were first released, the Chiefs were favored by as many as 5.5 points. Now that number is down to a field goal at most spots.

Though there isn't nearly as much value now, we still think Tennessee is the right side. The Titans should be more competitive under new head coach Ken Whisenhunt, and Jake Locker has looked good in the preseason so far. 

Kansas City has been tough to beat at home, but the offense could struggle to move the ball, considering Jamaal Charles is really the only legitimate weapon with Dwayne Bowe out.

After some consideration, we've decided to place our NFL pick on the Titans as road dogs.
Free NFL Pick: Titans +3

 

When the lines opened months ago, Kansas City was a 5.5-point favorite at home to Tennessee.

Things have changed, however, with the Chiefs now trading at 3.5 at a vast majority of the top sportsbooks. The O/U opened at 44 and is currently available at 43.5.

Kansas City in 2013-14 Regular Season: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, +7.8 margin of victory

Tennessee in 2013-14 Regular Season: 7-9 SU, 6-8-2 ATS, -1.2 margin of victory

The Chiefs may find it difficult to repeat their highly successful 2013-14 season, as we know they're not going to surprise anyone now.

That also means expectations are higher for Andy Reid's bunch. Alex Smith, recently signed to an expensive contract extension, has had another year to get comfortable with the offense, while Jamaal Charles remains one of the most productive backs in the NFL. Dwayne Bowe will be suspended to open the season, leaving Kansas City pretty thin with Donnie Avery as the team's best receiver in the interim.

Cappers will also want to closely monitor the health of Eric Berry, who's currently questionable due to heel tendinitis. When healthy, there are few defensive backs as valuable.

Tennessee has gone through more of an upheaval during the offeseason. The Titans have a new coach in Ken Whisenhunt, and Jake Locker is back healthy and ready to resume his staring role under center. At the moment, Shonn Greene and Dexter McCluster are on top of the running back depth chart, but it should only be a matter of time before rookie Bishop Sankey takes over the role. Kendall Wright, Nate Washington and Justin Hunter form a nice wideout trio for Locker to target.

Looking over the lines, you can see why the public jumped on the opening weak spot in the NFL odds and pushed the number. We know Kansas City is a tough team to beat at home, but the Chiefs don't really have any other weapons to lean on offensively aside from Charles while Bowe is suspended.

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