Quality Depth Advantage Prods Texans Over Cowboys ATS Pick

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, August 31, 2016 2:44 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 31, 2016 2:44 PM UTC

Our NFL analyst previews Thursday’s final preseason game between the Texans and Cowboys. Go inside to read this vastly informative betting article, and it’s concluded with a NFL pick.

Texas Bragging Rights
The Texans and Cowboys will meet on Thursday in a preseason finale for both teams. The opening kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Dallas is slated for 8:00 PM ET. Current NFL betting odds at Bookmaker indicates that Houston is a 3.0-point favorite, and the posted total is 37.0. Be sure to check out all the great bonuses offered at Bookmaker as well.

These teams also met last year during the final week of preseason. Dallas won that contest by a score of 21-14, covered as a 3.0-point underdog, and the game went under the total 38.5. As a matter of fact, since 2010, these teams have faced each other three times in preseason action, and each of those contests went under the total.

It’s worth noting, during the tenure of head coach Bill O’Brien, Houston has gone under the total in all five of their preseason away games. Conversely, Dallas is 5-1 under the total in their fourth preseason games since 2010, and if there was a total of 35.5 or more, all five stayed below the number.


Terrific Texans Preseason
Houston has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS this preseason. Their coming off a pair of home favorite ATS wins in their previous two games over New Orleans and Arizona. The Texans reaffirmed what they already anticipated, Brock Osweiler has clearly established himself as their #1 quarterback. Osweiler has been extremely sharp through Houston’s three preseason games, going 27-39 (69.2%) passing for 297 yards, and tossed 2 touchdowns against just 1 interception. It’s highly unlikely we’ll see him at all this evening.

Tom Savage will get the majority of snaps under center tonight for Houston. Savage is currently #2 on the depth chart. Since #3 signal caller Brandon Weeden has seen limited duty thus far, it would seem safe to assume Savage will head into this season as Houston’s top backup. Savage has appeared in all three preseason games, going 25-47 (53.2%) for 318 yards, and completed 3 touchdown passes against no interceptions.

Speaking of Weeden, head coach Bill O’Brien pointed out at his press conference on Tuesday that he’ll see some action. Weeden has played in all of the Texans preseason contests and is only 4-6 passing for 54 yards. At this point, one has to wonder if the former top draft pick by Cleveland will even be on Houston’s final 53-man roster.


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Quarterback Dilemma in “Big D”
The injury last week to veteran starting quarterback Tony Romo threw Dallas’ plan for the season completely out of whack. Romo suffered broken vertebrae and is out for at least the first half of the season. Some pundits have even suggested the 35-year-old should retire. Considering his inability to stay healthy and available in recent years, it certainly isn’t an illogical concept.

Thankfully for Dallas, they seemed to have garnered an absolute steal in this year’s draft with quarterback Dak Prescott. Dallas’ pick in the fourth round has been nothing short of sensational throughout preseason play. Specifically, Prescott is 39-50 (78%) passing for 459 yards and 5 touchdowns. He’s yet to throw an interception, and also ran for 53 yards and 2 touchdowns. Plausible thinking would seem to favor Prescott seeing very little if any action tonight.

At this very moment, second-year undrafted free agent Jameill Showers (UTEP) is the Cowboys backup quarterback. Undoubtedly Jerry Jones will sign another quarterback over the next couple of days. Nevertheless, as for tonight, Showers will see a ton of time, and quite possibly play the entire game. Showers is 19-37 (51.4%) for 227 yards this preseason thus far.


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Final Take and Pick
When it comes to picking winners during NFL preseason games, roster depth is a significant factor when assessing an overall synopsis. That’s especially the case when it comes to last preseason tilts. The rule of thumb at this juncture is simple. Don’t risk injury to any projected starters, and do a thorough evaluation on your backups fighting for final roster spots. Having said that, I see Houston as the much deeper team, and they’ll be one of my Thursday NFL picks.


Free NFL Pick: Houston Texans -3.0
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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