Just about every year you can count on at least one NFL head coach fired before the season concludes. Last year the "honor" went to Houston's Gary Kubiak. Here's a look at Sportsbook.com's NFL odds for all AFC candidates to be the first gone in 2014.
Doug Marrone, Bills (+550 on NFL odds)
Marrone is the second-favorite to be the first gone after the Cowboys' Jason Garrett (+400). It makes sense that the Bills are this high because the team is going to have new ownership any day now. Bon Jovi maybe? New ownership usually means a new front office, and new general managers tend to like to hire their own head coaches. The Bills were 6-10 in Marrone's first season in 2013. The risky trade to move up and get Sammy Watkins with the No. 4 pick in the draft has the Bills believing they can be a playoff team even though they have the longest postseason drought in the NFL (last playoff appearance in 1999).
Dennis Allen, Raiders (+600)
Ah, the Raiders, still perhaps the most dysfunctional franchise in the league, as those placing NFL picks know. They don't even know where they might be playing next year (San Antonio?), much less if Allen will be around to do it. Oakland has gone 4-12 in each of Allen's first two seasons and the Raiders probably need to double that wins total for Allen to keep his job. That doesn't seem likely with the talent on hand.
Joe Philbin, Dolphins (+1000)
The city of Miami is up for grabs now in terms of owning the sports marketplace in south Florida with LeBron James leaving the Heat. It used to be clearly a Dolphins town but now the Fins don't have much buzz. Owner Stephen Ross is determined to change that. Philbin wasn't the team's No. 1 choice when hired. It was a minor upset he survived the Bully-gate scandal last season. GM Jeff Ireland didn't. Anything short of a playoff berth and Philbin is gone.
Gus Bradley, Jaguars (+1000)
Jacksonville went 4-12 in Bradley's first season, which isn't half-bad considering that Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne were the team's quarterbacks. The Jags seem ready to punt on this season as they don't want to use rookie first-round pick Blake Bortles at all. Bradley is pretty highly regarded as the former Seahawks defensive coordinator -- the Eagles were set to hire him before Chip Kelly took that job. Bradley seems safe as the Jags played much better the second half of last year.
Marvin Lewis, Bengals (+1800)
Why is Lewis on this list despite leading the Bengals to the playoffs three straight seasons, a franchise first? Because Cincy has flopped in each of those postseasons. The team already has attached itself to QB Andy Dalton after signing him to a huge extension on Monday. That means Lewis, not Dalton, will be the fall guy if the Bengals don't win a playoff game.
Mike Pettine, Browns (+2000)
No way that Cleveland would fire its head coach after just one season for the second year in a row, right? I would think not, unless Jon Gruden or Nick Saban or Bob Stoops say they will take the gig. Those three were all linked to the opening before the Browns settled on Pettine, the former Buffalo defensive coordinator.
Mike Tomlin, Steelers (+2500)
Few franchises are more stable than Pittsburgh, but the Steelers have finished 8-8 and out of the playoffs two straight years. A third could cost Tomlin his job. Although it must be noted that the Steelers missed the playoffs three straight years (1998-2000) under Bill Cowher and he was kept on.
Rex Ryan, Jets (+2500)
Ryan was at the top of this prop this time last season, but he got a multi-year extension after leading the Jets to a surprising eight wins. They should be much better this season with the offensive additions of Michael Vick (if he starts over Geno Smith), Eric Decker and Chris Johnson.
Ken Whisenhunt, Titans (+6000)
The Titans won a tug-of-war with Detroit over Whisenhunt this offseason. He won't be fired after just one year.
Bill O'Brien, Texans (+6000)
The Texans had to pay Penn State a ton of money to buy out O'Brien's contract so they aren't about to eat four years of his contract that remain after 2014.
Be sure to check out this exciting NFL season contest available in the SBR forum.
NFL Free Picks: Allen is the most likely of this group to get the pink slip first. Oakland isn't going to be very good again -- wins total of 5 at sportsbooks -- and the Raiders will start over with a new coach to tutor young QB Derek Carr, the team's second-round pick in May.