We split a pair of props in the Divisional Round and here we are in the Championship weekend with four of the best offenses in the league and a ton of good NFL Odds. All I can say is, let’s cash some winners!
I understand Aaron Rodgers has been tearing through the league over the last several weeks, but at this point his price on props (and this entire game) have gotten pretty high.
I understand it’s the highest total of the season, but these two teams dropped a combined 65 points on one another in the regular season, but the individual numbers from that game weren’t entirely impressive. This is especially true with the Packers.
Rodgers had 246 passing yards and four touchdowns while Matt Ryan threw for 288 and three touchdowns.
However, Rodgers might not have Jordy Nelson or DaVante Adams in this game, or at least not at full strength and even against a weaker Falcons secondary, if Atlanta is successful in running the ball early in this game, they will limit the time Rodgers spends on the field. I think Rodgers gets above 300, but not quite to 325.
Free NFL Pick: Under 325.5 (-125) Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Chris Hogan O/U 3.5 receptions
This one is pretty straightforward. Chris Hogan says he is going to play this week, but just yesterday he was spotted limping around the Patriots locker room. He is far from 100 percent and with Malcolm Mitchell potentially returning this week, it’s a good bet that Hogan won’t see a ton of targets.
He will certainly be out there, but the Steelers young secondary is going to make sure they don’t get beat deep. Hogan rarely gets more than three or four receptions anyway, but with him being banged up I see the under as the play.
Free NFL Pick: Under 3.5 (-115)Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Dion Lewis O/U 2.5 receptions
Now, using our critical thinking skills for a moment. If Hogan is banged up and Mitchell is still hurt, Dion Lewis and Julian Edelman are going to be very busy in the passing game this week against the Steelers.
However, the Steelers obviously know they’ll want to keep a close eye and a few bodies around Edelman at all times, Lewis coming out of the backfield looks like it might be Tom Brady’s safety blanket.
If that happens, Lewis is easily going to catch three or more passes in this one. He had 11 catches in the last three games of the regular season and last year before getting hurt he was averaging over five catches per game. Now that’s he’s healthy and the Pats don’t have other dump off options if the Steelers take out Edelman, look for Lewis to have a big game.
Free NFL Pick: Over 2.5 (-130) Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Must Read: Top Last-Minute NFC & AFC Championship Selections