Pro Football Picks Against The Spread - Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccs

LA Rams p[layers on the field

Joe Gavazzi

Saturday, September 24, 2016 9:02 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 24, 2016 9:02 PM UTC

Joe Gavazzi, our very own expert handicapper, takes a look into the NFL odds for week 3 and found the underdog play of the week. Read on for his betting tips and which dog should you back this Sunday.

LA Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5) 4:05 ET
Week 4 of the College Football season is traditionally the first strong week of the season. This year is no exception, as it is the strongest and deepest card of the season to date. This includes more Top Plays than in the first 3 weeks combined.  Your patience from the first 3 weeks will now be rewarded, as we have increasingly more data to make the analysis. Not that it has been bad so far with selections on this site for the year to date standing 16-7 ATS (70%) in CFB and NFL combined. 

The LA Rams travel three time zones east for their meeting with the Tampa Bay Bucs in Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season.  Working in the Rams’ favor is the fact that this is a 4 pm ET start, which helps to alleviate the effects of the west to east travel. 

To avid NFL handicappers, it was no surprise when the LA Rams upset the division rival Seattle Seahawks last week by a score of 9-3. Under HC Fisher, the Rams have long had the Seahawks’ number. Last week’s win was the 3rd consecutive over NFL powerhouse, Seattle. It was particularly encouraging to LA backers, as it came in the Rams’ home opener at their new temporary home, the LA Coliseum. If you think the US Bank Arena in Minneapolis at a cost of over $1 billion was spectacular with their every person Wi-Fi, wait till you see what is in store in the new LA stadium with a ticket price of just under $3 billion! That victory was also most gratifying for the Rams, after their opening week, MNF, “no-show” (a 28-0 loss at San Francisco). The public has good reason to believe this could be a similarly poor showing for the Rams this week. That’s because, after their last 3 Seattle victories, the Rams have lost their following game by an average of 15 PPG, including the final game of last season, when they lost to San Francisco, following their 23-17 upset of Seattle. The fact is the Rams have traveled poorly of late with a recent 2-8 ATS road record and a mark of just 4-8 ATS as a non-division road dog. It is also troubling that behind the starter, Case Keenum, the first two games, that the Rams have yet to score a TD while averaging just 5 PPG and only 234 YPG. It’s the defense that has held the fort, allowing just 16 PPG (16 better than today’s foe TBay) and 313 YPG (82 better than today’s defense of TBay).  

There is little doubt that the Bucs will continue their turnaround this season. They have gone from 2 to 6 victories the last 2 seasons and figure to profit from 1st year HC Koetter and the 2nd year of QB Winston. But, Winston had his problems last week in Arizona, when he led a Tampa Bay team, who had a (-5) net TO margin (a 99% chance to lose to the spread) in a 40-7 blasting by Arizona. With the Bucs returning for their home opener, a huge bounce back is expected by the public. But, if that is going to happen, they will need to do it without RB Martin (hamstring) and with a defense that enters today, allowing 31 PPG in their last 6 contests.  In short, it may take more than a QB Winston turnaround from his 4 INTs last week (threw 4 TDPs in Week 1), if the Bucs are to get this home victory.  


In the end, I side with the LA Rams with the far superior defense as your NFL UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK. I invite you to put the NFL odds in your favor and join me in my NFL pick on the LA Rams in this late-afternoon underdog selection.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.


Free NFL Pick: LA Rams +4.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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