We serve up SU predictions for each and every game on Week 10’s NFL betting card. Find out where we feel the value NFL picks are to be had and that you should spot.
Week 9 NFL SU Betting Recap
So, it was a rough week 9 for our SU NFL picks, going just 5-8 overall. Had just the Chargers, Niners and Broncos come through for us, we’d be in the green. Of course, had we not made the bonehead mistake of backing the Giants, Panthers and Texans, we’d been even better off overall. Needless to say, we’re still over .500 through the NFL season in our SU winners circle, and armed with that comforting knowledge we’re ready to get cracking again. Predicting the winners of all 13 games is a challenging feat, but we’re brave enough to tackle it. Of course, we’re aiming for a perfect 13-0 record this week, but we can live with a couple of misses, if it comes to it. So let’s get started and see how we do with our week 10 NFL picks for the winners circle.
Browns +220 vs. Bengals -270
Both the Browns and Bengals are riding a two-game winning streaks ahead of their divisional date in week 10. That form alone lends itself handily to the notion this game is a bit of a tossup. That said, these familiar foes have split the series over the last two seasons, each winning their home stand. Home form, therefore, counts in this matchup, you could say. Hence, the Bengals have the market cornered on -270 NFL odds for good reason. Add to that a 4-0-1 SU record at home this season, which extends their home winning form to 12-1-1 since 2013, backing the Browns to mastermind the upset would be going out on a limb.
Free NFL Pick: Bengals -270
Falcons -120 vs. Buccaneers +105
Falcons are riding a five-game losing streak while the Bucs are riding a four game losing streak; both putting their best foot forward for the worst team in the NFC South. Tampa are 3-9-0 SU at home since 2013, while the Falcons are winless on the road in four attempts, slipping 1-11-0 SU on the road since 2013. Something is going to have to give when they collide on Sunday. According to the bookies, the Falcons are the smart NFL pick, probably down to their 56-14 win over the Bucs earlier this season. Plus, they are the ‘better’ (to be interpreted loosely) team on paper, even if it’s not coming through on the win column and Matt Ryan is the better quarterback too. However, last season, this pair split the series with each winning at home. So, home advantage is trumps. This game is doing our head in, to be honest. It’s a complete tossup. Close your eyes and flip a coin. We did. Falcons it is.
Free NFL Pick: Falcons -120
Cowboys vs. Jaguars
Dallas Cowboys take on the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium in London. If you consider the unusual conditions, unfamiliar territory and the travel involved alone there’s cause to consider this a tossup. Add to that the question marks surrounding Tony Romo and, well, it doesn’t look so straightforward, even if the Jaguars are one of the worst offerings on the NFL season. Didn’t the Cowboys lost two in a row, one to a subpar Redskins spearheaded by a third-string quarterback. Nothing can be taken for granted. It could go higgledy-piggledy on NFL bettors. However, assuming Romo suits up, this game is for the Cowboys to win.
Free NFL Pick: Cowboys
Chiefs -130 vs. Bills +110
The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-5-0 SU since 2013, which includes an 8.5-point margin of victory. Bills are 6-6-0 SU since 2013, which includes a 2-2 SU mark at home this season. The Bills have taken this matchup by the scuff of its neck in head-to-heads over recent seasons; they are 5-2 SU in the last seven when playing Kansas City. That said, the Chiefs won their last meeting 23-13; it was the ninth win of a perfect 9-0 SU start to last season before going into a bye week. Undeniably, the Chiefs are the better team this season. They are riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak ahead of this game with wins over the Chargers (away), Rams and New York Jets (both at home). It could be that the odds makers are underrating a Bills team that boast a two-game winning streak ahead of this clash, but we feel strongly (as does the NFL betting public) Alex Smith and Company should come through on their favourable NFL odds.
Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -130
Dolphins +130 vs. Lions -150
Dolphins are after a statement win over the Chargers in week 9 NFL betting, a complete 37-0 routing in Miami that raised several eyebrows in NFL betting circles. At the very least, the Dolphins can take confidence from that win on the road. They are 3-1-0 SU on their travels, but they are yet to beat a complete team on the road – to date they’ve only beaten Chicago, Oakland and Jacksonville on the road – hardly a ringing endorsement of their nominal +130 NFL odds. Lions are not only proving to be tough to beat this season, but they are also gaining a reputation for being comeback Kings. The Lions are 3-1-0 SU at home this season, extending their home winning form to 7-5-0 since 2013. Bookies and NFL bettors are buying what the Lions are selling, but it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Dolphins are on a roll right now behind a three-game winning stretch ahead of this clash. Lions should win, but we won’t be shocked if the Dolphins pull a rabbit out of the hat in week 10 NFL betting. It’s coming down to the wire and every team that has a shot at the postseason is going to pull out all the stops. Actually, the more we think on it, the more appealing the notion of the upset is here. Besides, this is the same Lions team that can self-destruct inexplicably at times (*cough*loss to the Bills*cough*).
Free NFL Pick: Dolphins +130
Steelers -225 vs. Jets +185
Quite rightly the Steelers are the hot favourites on the road at the expense of a hapless Jets side. At -225 to win straight up, the Steelers are the popular NFL pick. The alternative would mean trusting your money to Michael Vick and the Jets who are enjoying an eight-game skid.
Free NFL Pick: Steelers -225
Niners +200 vs. Saints -240
Once again, we’re going out on a limb with the Niners on our NFL picks, despite the fact that they’ve burned us in recent weeks. Undoubtedly, the evidence stands against us. Namely, the sainted home record, a perfect 11-0-0 since 2013 for the hosts and that boasts a 16.8-point margin of victory. But just as the Saints finally won their first road game in 11 months, it’s possible they would lose their first home game since last season (the irony doesn’t escape us).
To put a finer point on it: Saints were rather fortunate to get away with the win over the Panthers last week. At home this season, they’ve looked vulnerable at times, there for the taking. Heck, the Bucs almost ran roughshod over them, only to lose 37-31 in overtime. Niners are stuck between a rock and a hard place. They absolutely need a win if they hope to make the playoffs, they are down to third in a highly competitive NFC West division, no wiggle room to flirt with anymore. Kaepernick personally has 2 million reasons to lead the Niners to victory here (contractual bonus if he meets certain conditions). If defense rises to the occasion, they could shut down Drew Brees and Company at the Superdome. It’s a long shot, but we’re taking a chance on the Niners here.
Free NFL Pick: Niners +200
Titans +375 vs. Ravens -500
To all intents and purposes, this is shaping up to be a lopsided NFL betting affair. Few would be brave enough to back the listless Titans at their whopping +375 underdog odds, without any evidence to suggest they merit such largesse. Granted they pulled off an eye-popping win over the Chiefs to open the season, but that was a lifetime ago. The odds they would accomplish the feat here are slim to none. The NFL betting public is unanimously backing the favourites here on their weekend wagering tickets. That’s telling.
Free NFL Pick: -500
Broncos -650 vs. Raiders +475
The Broncos are expected to bounce back at the expense of the Oakland Raiders in week 10 NFL betting. Without waxing lyrical, the Broncos are 6-2 SU this season and 5-0 SU in their last five games when playing Oakland. On the flipside, Raiders are winless on the season through eight games, the only team without a win on the season. Need more be said?
Free NFL Pick: Broncos -650
Giants +350 vs. Seahawks -450
Seattle Seahawks lack the killer instinct that saw them win the Super Bowl last season, but they are still playing good enough ball this season. They are 5-3 SU and 3-1 SU at home. They only just suffered their first home defeat, to Dallas in week 6 NFL betting. Overall their home record speaks volumes—they are 12-2-0 SU at home. The Giants are simply in too much disarray to suggest they would deliver as the road underdogs at +350 NFL odds.
Free NFL Pick: Seahawks -450
Rams +260 vs. Cardinals -320
The NFL betting public is split between the Rams and Cardinals almost 50-50 across the NFL odds board – ATS, Total and SU. The Rams have punched above their weight class against divisional opponents, beating Seattle at home and San Francisco on the road. As a consequence, the Rams strike a tempting pose against divisional foes here. Could the Rams complete the hat-trick of upsets? It’s a tempting notion, to say the least. It’s unlikely when you consider the Cardinals are enjoying a 7-1 SU record on the season, which includes a perfect 4-0 SU record at home. But random things can happen. It’s possible, but don’t go betting the farm on it. Cardinals have a way of sucking the life out of a game; hence, we’re taking the Cardinals on our NFL picks.
Free NFL Pick: Cardinals -320
Bears +270 vs. Packers -340
The Packers are unbeaten at home this season behind a 3-0-0 SU record, which includes a 20-point margin of victory. Hence, they are the correct favourites at -340 on the NFL odds page across sportsbook platforms. The Bears have been better on the road this season than they have been at home, boasting a 3-2 SU record. But taking a win at the expense of an Aaron-Rodgers-inspired Packers team at the Lambeau is a bit of a stretch, not when the team seems to be lacking in confidence, divided by in-fighting and casting aspersions on one another.
Free NFL Pick: Packers -340
Panthers +220 vs. Eagles -270
The are two scenarios trading in NFL betting circles a) Cam Newton and the Panthers bounce back at the expense of a Fole-less Eagles and b) Mark Sanchez and the Eagles prove critics wrong by coming through on their NFL odds against a banged up Panthers. That’s enough to do your head in for this game. Such a tossup it is the more you think about it and the implications the Mark Sanchez curveball throws into the equation. What is certain, however, is the Panthers are on a three-game losing skid. They are but a shadow of their NFC South winning selves, Cam Newton isn’t 100% and both offense and defense is thin. Put together that’s a lot more uncertainty than that by the injection of Sanchez into the Eagles’ camp.
Free NFL Pick: Eagles -270 at YouWager