Power Rankings to Aid Week 7 NFL Picks

Doug Upstone

Thursday, October 16, 2014 8:31 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 16, 2014 8:31 PM GMT

Sportsbook Review has been experimenting against the betting odds with a new tool to assist you with NFL picks. We have devised our own power rankings which are score-differential based.

The simple explanation is we have developed a formula that that takes our number against the eventual outcome and adjust the power rankings accordingly from week to week, in similar fashion to what many of the NFL football handicappers do that appear on videos or right articles for us do on their own.

Most online sportsbooks utilize something on the same idea, however, their methodology tends to be more complex against the NFL odds.

Our mission was more in line to help our readers and followers with a uncomplicated betting tool that could increase your understanding of all the teams and have a little fun in agreeing or disagreeing with these NFL power rankings. We hope you enjoy reviewing these numbers and that they aid you when making your Week 7 NFL picks

 

  Start Current     Start Current
NFC East       AFC East    
Dallas 93 100   Buffalo 91 93
NY Giants 94 95   Miami 93 93
Philadelphia 97 101   New England 97 99
Washington 92 89   NY Jets 92 89
             
NFC North       AFC North    
Chicago 95 94   Baltimore 97 104
Detroit 94 97   Cincinnati 96 98
Green Bay 97 100   Cleveland 91 95
Minnesota 91 89   Pittsburgh 95 90
             
NFC South       AFC South    
Atlanta 94 90   Houston 92 93
Carolina 94 92   Indianapolis 95 102
New Orleans 99 94   Jacksonville 90 81
Tampa Bay 91 86   Tennessee 92 87
             
NFC West       AFC West    
Arizona 95 94   Denver 99 102
San Francisco 98 99   Kansas City 95 98
Seattle 100 100   Oakland 92 88
St. Louis 93 88   San Diego 96 100

 

Seattle -9 over St. Louis
The Rams continue to play hard, but are very young and with a veteran football team like Seattle, we are comfortable with our number being a little higher than the oddsmakers, especially with the Seahawks off a loss.

 

Green Bay - 11 over Carolina
Even we think this number is a little high, but Carolina suffered two losses in Weeks 3-4 by 46 total points which really dropped their numbers.

 

Detroit – 6 over New Orleans
Our number is higher than the actual point spread, but it is hard to overlook Detroit has the NFL’s top defense and Drew Brees will not have his favorite target TE Jimmy Graham.

 

Dallas - 8 over N. Y. Giants          
At first this number looked bloated, but has the week as progressed, bettors have come to agree with us.         

                                                           

Indianapolis -7 over Cincinnati
Indianapolis is on a 4-0 SU and ATS run while Cincinnati is 0-1-1 SU and failed to cover two straight favorite roles.

 

Cleveland -11 over Jacksonville
Because Jacksonville just covered their first game of the season and the Browns are 3-1-1 ATS, we have this large a disparity.

 

San Diego – 5 over Kansas City
This AFC West conflict matches up well with the oddsmakers projection and should be a compelling contest.

     

Washington -1 over Tennessee
We completely support our rankings here compared to the sportsbooks, not convinced the Redskins deserve to be such a favorite.

 

Chicago -3 over Miami
Dead on with the books and the most important storyline is the Jay Culter vs. Ryan Tannehill matchup and who makes the fewest turnovers.

 

Baltimore -18 over Atlanta
Even we agree this spread is too large, however, Atlanta is 2-4 ATS with four double digit losses, while Baltimore is 4-2 ATS with three blowouts by 20 or more points.

 

Buffalo – 7 over Minnesota
Would not be shocked if the final number ended up on what figure we have posted here.

 

Arizona -4 over Oakland
Even we were a bit surprised to see such a low number, thinking the Cardinals would be larger road favorites, but oddsmakers are in agreement.

 

SNF - Denver- 6.5 over San Francisco
Basically identical to the current line which makes one’s preference on either side for sports picks.

 

MNF - Pittsburgh – 1 over Houston
With Pittsburgh just 2-4 ATS, our projections have them somewhat lower than the norm.

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