Pointspread Pick for NFL Preseason Colts vs. Jets

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, August 5, 2014 2:33 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2014 2:33 PM GMT

The New York Jets are looking to build off last year’s even season in hopes of making it back to the playoffs for the first time since 2010, which provides them value against the Indianapolis Colts in the preseason opener.

Protecting Luck
Indianapolis has compiled a 22-10 regular season record under third year head coach Chuck Pagano, which has led oddsmakers to establish the franchise as -151 favorites to win the AFC South Division, but it must do a better job of protecting its franchise quarterback.

Andrew Luck has thrown for the most passing yards (8,196) in the first two seasons of a quarterback’s career in NFL history, but he’ll be lining up behind an offensive line that has three inexperienced players at the center and guard positions.

The Colts suffered a major blow in camp already with left guard Donald Thomas (quad) being lost for the year, which has the front office on edge after placing a league-high 17 players on injured reserve in 2013.

 

Smith is positioned ahead of Vick
New York possesses a pair of dual-threat signal-callers in Geno Smith and Michael Vick, but expectations in the betting market aren’t expecting the Jets to build off its 8-8 season of a year ago, as its regular season win total is currently 7 (Over -136).

Smith is looking to become more of a factor in the running game in adding 10 pounds of muscle during the offseason—coming off a 2013 campaign that saw him become the 13th rookie quarterback to throw for 3,000 yards.

Vick is a capable backup entering the twilight of his career at the age of 34, which is one of the main reasons why head coach Rex Ryan and offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg have placed him in the No. 2 spot on the depth chart.

 

Richardson is a Big Question Mark
The Colts need running back Trent Richardson to provide balance to the offense opposite Luck, as he disappointed in rushing for only 458 yards on 2.9 yards per carry after his move to Indianapolis from the Cleveland Browns.

NFL handicappers need to realize that New York’s stop unit is in midseason form, with the front seven holding its running backs to 49 yards on 27 carries in the team’s Green White practice last Saturday.

Richardson’s going to have a hard time gaining confidence in taking on a defense that ranked third in the league in allowing just 88.3 rushing yards per game a season ago.

 

A Major Obstacle
The Jets have never covered the number in their first preseason game under Ryan, which is a betting trend that many sports bettors will bank on Thursday.

New York did manage to win its final three exhibition contests a year ago, which played a big role in the franchise posting a two-win improvement (8-8) after hitting rock bottom in 2012.

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Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Jets as one of their Week 1 NFL preseason picks, as the Colts main focus is maintaining its health before the start of the regular season.

Free NFL Pick:  New York Jets -3 at Pinnacle Sports

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