Point Spread Value Bets for NFL Week 1

Steven Suarez

Saturday, August 30, 2014 6:04 PM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 30, 2014 6:04 PM UTC

We run over the lines from the web's best sportsbooks and select a few Week 1 spreads that seem to be off the mark. Where have the odds makers left the door open for sports bettors this week?

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
The opening lines have shifted quite a bit, as it looks like the public liked the available value on New England early on. The Patriots opened as 3.5-point favorites on NFL odds, but now that number has shifted up to 4.5 at most books.

It's hard not to agree with the public, as New England looks primed to have another successful season. As long as Bill Belichick is running the show and Tom Brady is at the helm of the offense, the Patriots are going to be perennial Super Bowl contenders, and it's no different this season.

Along with a host of serviceable receiving options at his disposal, Brady will also have Rob Gronkowski back and healthy again. The defense still has some big names like Vince Wilfork, Jerod Mayo, Darrelle Revis and Devin McCourty, so they should be solid on that side of the ball too.

As for the Dolphins, we're not so convinced. They've got some talented pieces, but haven't been able to put it all together. Even though they're at home, we believe there's some good value on what appears to be the better overall team in New England.
NFL Odds Value: Patriots -4.5

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Minnesota Vikings vs. St. Louis Rams
When the Rams open up the season at home in Week 1, they'll be without Sam Bradford once again. Bradford tore his ACL and will miss the entire season, and we don't have to tell you how big of a blow that is for the franchise.

In steps backup Shaun Hill, who will be counted on to lead St. Louis. We can expect a heavy dosage of Zac Stacy out of the backfield, but the Rams do have some good weapons in Kenny Britt, Brian Quick, Tavon Austin and Jared Cook.

Meanwhile, Matt Cassel has won the starting job for Minnesota after holding off rookie Tedy Bridgewater and former starter Christian Ponder. However, we all know what the Vikings are going to do. Look for Adrian Peterson to get as many touches as he can handle, and don't forget about speedy playmaker Cordarrelle Patterson either.

All in all, we're thinking it may be a wise plan to fade the Rams early on until we get a better idea of what life without Bradford will look like. That St. Louis defense is going to have to step it up big-time, and a low-scoring game favors the underdog in most situations.
NFL Odds Value: Vikings +4

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Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Two division rivals go at it in Pittsburgh in Week 1, with the Steelers opening as near touchdown favorites in the NFL betting odds.

The Steelers have made some changes, especially on the defensive end of the ball, but they've still got Ben Roethlisberger in charge and Antonio Brown catching anything and everything that comes his way. They should be fine.

Cleveland? We're not so sure. Brian Hoyer has been announced as the starting quarterback, but it's not the most ideal situation out there, as Hoyer knows Johnny Manziel is ready and waiting in case he can't get the job done. There's a lot of pressure there. Throw in fact the Browns' best offensive player in Josh Gordon is out for the season, and it's tough to like Cleveland with your NFL picks this season.

There's a reason Pittsburgh is favored by a solid margin for Week 1. We reckon they'll scoot past the Browns at home with relative ease.
NFL Odds Value: Steelers -6 at 5Dimes

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