It’s the second to last week of the NFL season and bet365 once again has a ton of prop betting picks that could hold some great value. I have three of my favorite props both team and player, and I'm releasing them free of charge.
DeAngelo Williams O/U 80.5 Rushing Yards
The Steelers would not be where they are without DeAngelo Williams, and with the veteran running back still going strong, it’s hard to bet against him and the Steelers. However, even though the Steelers will want to crush their divisional rival, the Ravens, they will also play this one smart. They have already lost the best running back in the NFL to a season-ending injury, and an injury of less severity could easily derail their playoff chances. Williams and Antonio Brown might be prime candidates to get some rest in order to avoid a cheap shot from a divisional game that could be hostile to say the least. The Ravens are a bad football team, but they have been worse through the air this season than on the ground. Baltimore’s run defense is good enough to force the Steelers to throw the ball more, and Williams might not have as much success this week. Also, as mentioned above, if the game is a blow out, with a spread of -10 in favor of Pittsburgh, we could see Williams sit out some snaps late in the game if the contest is in hand. His injury history and age are too much to overcome this yards total in this game so close to the playoffs.
NFL Pick: UNDER 80.5 (-120) at bet365
Ted Ginn Jr. O/U 54.5 Receiving Yards
The Panthers season looked bleak when they lost Kelvin Benjamin for the season, but Ted Ginn Jr. is having a career year for the Panthers, and the last three weeks have been incredible. Ginn has six touchdowns in his last three games, and seven in his last four contests heading into this week, and in two of the last three weeks the touchdowns have been huge deep passes from Cam Newton. Needless to say Ginn is a candidate for a long ball this week, but even if Ginn doesn’t cash the over in one or two big plays, he could also do it with volume as well. Last week Ginn saw 15 targets, which is by far the most he has ever received. He got 10 targets in a game twice before this season, and even though he only caught two passes against the Falcons two weeks ago, as mentioned above both were for touchdowns, and they were passes of 46 and 74 yards. Take the over with Ginn with your NFL picks, because while it may be chalky, it could still be a winner.
NFL Pick: OVER 54.5 (-120)
Pittsburgh Steelers O/U 3.5 Touchdowns
The Steelers have been a mad house on offense this season, scoring 27 points per game and amassing the second most yards through 14 games only to the Arizona Cardinals. This week against the Ravens boasting backups all over their offense, it might be wise to once again bet that the Steelers want to throw up a big score this week. Baltimore’s defense is better on the ground than through the air, and if Antonio Brown or Martavis Bryant can get loose for a long score, it can only help our play. Pittsburgh has been one of the better quick strike offenses in the NFL outside of New England, and you might even make the argument that Pittsburgh’s offense is better than the Patriots considering the Pats’ recent injuries. In their last two weeks Baltimore has given up nearly 70 points, so four touchdowns with a price of even money on the NFL odds board is too good to pass up.
NFL Pick: OVER 3.5 TDs (+100)