We are heading down the stretch run of the NFL season and with only three regular season weeks remaining, there isn’t much time left to miss out on some of these winning player prop picks from bet365.
Charcandrick West O/U 70.5 Rushing Yards
Since Jamaal Charles went down the Chiefs have surprisingly been getting it done because of two young running backs, Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware. Before practice started this week West looked like the loan back in the backfield this week for the Chiefs, however word broke recently that Ware returned to practice as well, which makes me think the Chiefs are going to use them both in a relative time share against Baltimore. West should probably see a majority of the carries, but I doubt he gets more than 55 or 60 percent of the snaps if Ware is truly healthy. Plus, the Ravens defense has been very good against the run this season, ranking 9th best in the league allowing yards to running backs. On top of that, after three straight weeks of seeing 20 or more carries right after Charles went down, West has received only 30 carries in his last three games, and with Ware potentially eating into his carries this week, I’m looking at the under as a potential play for my first player prop at -120 NFL odds.
NFL Picks: UNDER 70.5 (-120)
Matt Ryan O/U 264.5 Passing Yards
I am probably the wrong person to be making a pick on Matt Ryan this season, because I have been the antithesis of the Matt Ryan Whisperer this season, but I have a good feeling about his yards total this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Ryan has been in a slump this season, and more specifically the latter half of it, and it has turned the Falcons from seemingly the comeback team of the year, to the depths of mediocrity or worse. However, there is still a slight chance they get into the playoffs if they win out and have some help over the next few weeks, and if there is any team that could bring out a good game in Ryan, it’s the Jaguars. Jacksonville has given up the sixth most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season, all while their run defense has actually been pretty good. Despite teams running against them at 365 times this season, which is the 6th most of any team, they have given up only 3.6 yards per attempt this year, and are close to a top ten team in yards allowed via the run. Ryan may be forced to throw the ball this week, and if the Jags jump out ahead at home, it might make it even better for Ryan’s passing numbers.
NFL Picks: OVER 264.5 (-125) at bet365
Nate Washington O/U 42.5 Receiving Yards
This is almost as off the board gets in player prop picks, but Nate Washington has a favorable matchup this week, and with all the attention that will be paid to DeAndre Hopkins, the Colts may force one or two more targets to Washington this week. For starters, Greg Toller will be matched up against Washington, and it will likely be one on one coverage with the need to draw the safety in on covering Hopkins. While Washington’s target volume hasn’t been huge this season, he has seen at least 40 yards receiving over his last three games, and with the Colts giving up a ton of yards through the air this year, I am backing the over with my NFL picks on this one as well. Last week Washington only had one catch but it went for 49 yards, and he could easily slip behind the Colts’ defense this week for another big play.
NFL Picks: OVER 42.5 (-115)