It’s a big weekend of NFL Wildcard action, and I have found several ways to spice up my NFL Picks by adding some prop plays on Jeremy Hill, Greg Olsen and Michael Floyd.
Jeremy Hill O/U 85.5 rush yards
Under Hue Jackson this season, the Bengals have been much more run heavy than they were with Jay Gruden as their offensive coordinator. However they will have to run the ball a lot more this week with the news that their best receiver, AJ Green is doubtful for this matchup with a forearm injury. If Green can’t go, which is looking more likely by the hour, Jeremy Hill is going to be utilized heavily over the course of this game. Hill has rushed for over 100 yards in the Bengals’ last three games, and against the Colts’ run defense, I’m sure he will be able to go over 85 yards rushing in this game. He had at least 22 carries in all of those games, and I expect him to touch the ball at least 20 to 25 times in this game. If he does have that many carries, 86 or more yards is probable.
Free NFL Pick: Hill OVER 85.5 rush yards (-130)
Greg Olsen O/U 64.5 receiving yards
Greg Olsen has been invaluable to Cam Newton and the Panthers’ offense this season, and he is going to be just as invaluable in this game against the Cardinals. Arizona was the worst team in the NFL defending against opposing tight ends last season, and they weren’t that much better this season. This season they only gave up eight touchdowns to tight ends, which was good for only 13th most in the NFL, but when it comes to yards given up to tight ends, the Cardinals were the worst in the NFL. Tight ends averaged nearly 68 receiving yards per game against the Cardinals this season. Arizona has given up huge games to the likes of Antonio Gates, Julius Thomas and more, and Olsen is just as capable of going off against the Cardinals. I see him having a big game this week against the Cardinals, and I'm willing to place one of my NFL picks today on over 64.5 receiving yards.
Free NFL Pick: Olsen OVER 64.5 receiving yards (-115)
Michael Floyd TD Scored
This one is simply a nice flier that I’m going with this weekend. It may be a bit of a long shot, but at +150, and after scoring twice in the final week of the regular season, Michael Floyd has great NFL Odds to score a touchdown this week. The Panthers’ secondary has been good at times this season, but it’s also been pretty bad. Floyd’s speed and his newfound chemistry with Ryan Lindley is going to make him a problem for the Panthers, and even though it’s not saying much, Floyd is by far the Cards’ best receiving option. Floyd might get free for a long ball in this game, and even though it could be lower scoring, the +150 NFL Odds on a guy who scored last week is too good to ignore.
Free NFL Pick: Floyd TD Scored (+150)