Week 2 is already here and it’s time to start taking a look at some interesting Sunday player prop picks from bet365. Last Sunday we went 2-1 on our player prop picks, so follow along and see if we can get that same kind of value in this week’s NFL Odds from bet365.
Matthew Stafford O/U 268.5 passing yards
Matthew Stafford had a poor performance last week and it led to the Chargers staging a comeback to win the game. Stafford had two picks and only 246 yards on 30 pass attempts, but he also was not in the game very long, as the Chargers really controlled the time of possession. That won’t be the case this week against the Vikings, whose defense got ran all over in Week 1. I think that the Lions run game will be used to set up some nice deep passes for Stafford, and after a poor Week 1 performance, I am taking advantage of a discounted line for his passing yards this week.
My Pick: OVER 268.5 passing yards (-125 NFL odds)
Justin Forsett O/U 71.5 rush yards
Last week the Ravens and Broncos were locked into a heated defensive battle, and even though the Ravens get the much easier assignment this week against the Oakland Raiders, I’m not sure that Forsett will get the touches needed to get above 71 yards. For starters I think the Raiders defense should play the run better this week at home. Secondly, Forsett might not see the workload. Lorenzo Taliaferro is back this week for the Ravens, and could easily steal some short yardage and goal line work. Forsett will still be used on most downs, but he might also see more time catching screens from Joe Flacco than running. All in all, 71.5 is just too high for Forsett this week on the road, and I’m taking the under.
My Pick: UNDER 71.5 rush yards (-115)
Brandin Cooks O/U 71.5 receiving yards
We go from a guy with a line of 71.5 that’s too high, to a guy who has the same line, which should be way too low. Brandin Cooks had a dud last week for the Saints, but going back home against what could be one of the worst secondaries in the NFL is going to do wonders for Cooks this week. Plus, even though his season was shortened last season due to injury, he still established clearly better home splits than his road splits. Last season Cooks averaged nearly 73 yards per game at home, and that included the game he got hurt in and didn’t finish. Plus, with Brandon Coleman in the mix down the field, Cooks should be unchecked in space in the middle of the field for this one. All he needs is one or two guys to miss and he could get all of these yards in one play. With that kind of upside and speed, I’m looking towards the over with Cooks at home with my NFL picks.
My Pick: OVER 71.5 receiving yards (-130)